DeMar DeRozan’s strong preference for a contending roster and the Nuggets’ successful recruitment push, featuring input from Nikola Jokić, Jamal Murray, and Aaron Gordon, have driven the market’s heavy weighting toward Denver at 74.3% implied probability. After the Kings waived the 37-year-old All-Star in early July to create cap flexibility, multiple contenders including the Heat, Cavaliers, and Wizards expressed interest in the veteran midrange scorer, but DeRozan prioritized a one-year veteran-minimum deal in Denver announced August 21. This recent development has compressed probabilities for Portland, San Antonio, Detroit, Houston, and Philadelphia into the 27–32% range while limiting longshots like the Celtics or Knicks below 16%. Trader consensus reflects DeRozan’s desire for playoff contention in his 18th season rather than rebuilding or smaller-market options.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNBA Free Agency: DeMar DeRozan Next Team
NBA Free Agency: DeMar DeRozan Next Team
Denver Nuggets 96.7%
San Antonio Spurs 49.8%
Portland Trail Blazers 47.2%
New York Knicks 15.6%
$17,197 Vol.
$17,197 Vol.
Denver Nuggets
74%
San Antonio Spurs
50%
Portland Trail Blazers
47%
New York Knicks
16%
Boston Celtics
15%
LA Clippers
8%
Dallas Mavericks
8%
Brooklyn Nets
4%
Other
2%
Cleveland Cavaliers
2%
Los Angeles Lakers
2%
Chicago Bulls
2%
Miami Heat
1%
Phoenix Suns
1%
Golden State Warriors
1%
Atlanta Hawks
1%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Oklahoma City Thunder
<1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
<1%
Philadelphia 76ers
<1%
Toronto Raptors
<1%
Charlotte Hornets
16%
Detroit Pistons
<1%
Houston Rockets
<1%
Indiana Pacers
<1%
Memphis Grizzlies
<1%
Orlando Magic
<1%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
Utah Jazz
<1%
Washington Wizards
<1%
Denver Nuggets 96.7%
San Antonio Spurs 49.8%
Portland Trail Blazers 47.2%
New York Knicks 15.6%
$17,197 Vol.
$17,197 Vol.
Denver Nuggets
74%
San Antonio Spurs
50%
Portland Trail Blazers
47%
New York Knicks
16%
Boston Celtics
15%
LA Clippers
8%
Dallas Mavericks
8%
Brooklyn Nets
4%
Other
2%
Cleveland Cavaliers
2%
Los Angeles Lakers
2%
Chicago Bulls
2%
Miami Heat
1%
Phoenix Suns
1%
Golden State Warriors
1%
Atlanta Hawks
1%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Oklahoma City Thunder
<1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
<1%
Philadelphia 76ers
<1%
Toronto Raptors
<1%
Charlotte Hornets
16%
Detroit Pistons
<1%
Houston Rockets
<1%
Indiana Pacers
<1%
Memphis Grizzlies
<1%
Orlando Magic
<1%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
Utah Jazz
<1%
Washington Wizards
<1%
If Rui Hachimura does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Rui Hachimura joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Rui Hachimura is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Market Opened: Jul 6, 2026, 3:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Rui Hachimura does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Rui Hachimura joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Rui Hachimura is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...DeMar DeRozan’s strong preference for a contending roster and the Nuggets’ successful recruitment push, featuring input from Nikola Jokić, Jamal Murray, and Aaron Gordon, have driven the market’s heavy weighting toward Denver at 74.3% implied probability. After the Kings waived the 37-year-old All-Star in early July to create cap flexibility, multiple contenders including the Heat, Cavaliers, and Wizards expressed interest in the veteran midrange scorer, but DeRozan prioritized a one-year veteran-minimum deal in Denver announced August 21. This recent development has compressed probabilities for Portland, San Antonio, Detroit, Houston, and Philadelphia into the 27–32% range while limiting longshots like the Celtics or Knicks below 16%. Trader consensus reflects DeRozan’s desire for playoff contention in his 18th season rather than rebuilding or smaller-market options.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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