NVIDIA shares, recently trading near $222, reflect trader focus on the company's August earnings momentum and early September acquisition of Hugging Face for approximately $12 billion, which strengthens its AI software ecosystem amid sustained data center demand. Fiscal Q2 revenue reached $96.2 billion with data center sales at $89 billion, and Q3 guidance of $108 billion supports the view that supply constraints, rather than demand, limit growth, though elevated memory costs are pressuring gross margins toward 74 percent. With probabilities tightly distributed across $215–$230 ranges and notable weight on sub-$200 outcomes, market-implied odds capture uncertainty around weekly volatility, Vera Rubin ramp execution, and broader tech sector reactions to macroeconomic data or policy signals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$220-$225 32%
$215-$220 25%
$225-$230 24%
$210-$215 12%
NEW
NEW
Sep 25, 2026
<$200
9%
$200-$205
11%
$205-$210
11%
$210-$215
12%
$215-$220
25%
$220-$225
30%
$225-$230
26%
$230-$235
11%
$235-$240
11%
$240-$245
11%
>$245
11%
$220-$225 32%
$215-$220 25%
$225-$230 24%
$210-$215 12%
NEW
NEW
Sep 25, 2026
<$200
$0 Vol.
9%
$200-$205
$0 Vol.
11%
$205-$210
$0 Vol.
11%
$210-$215
$0 Vol.
12%
$215-$220
$0 Vol.
25%
$220-$225
$10 Vol.
30%
$225-$230
$10 Vol.
26%
$230-$235
$0 Vol.
11%
$235-$240
$0 Vol.
11%
$240-$245
$0 Vol.
11%
>$245
$0 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.NVIDIA shares, recently trading near $222, reflect trader focus on the company's August earnings momentum and early September acquisition of Hugging Face for approximately $12 billion, which strengthens its AI software ecosystem amid sustained data center demand. Fiscal Q2 revenue reached $96.2 billion with data center sales at $89 billion, and Q3 guidance of $108 billion supports the view that supply constraints, rather than demand, limit growth, though elevated memory costs are pressuring gross margins toward 74 percent. With probabilities tightly distributed across $215–$230 ranges and notable weight on sub-$200 outcomes, market-implied odds capture uncertainty around weekly volatility, Vera Rubin ramp execution, and broader tech sector reactions to macroeconomic data or policy signals.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Sep 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Volume
$20End Date
Sep 25, 2026Market Opened
Sep 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.NVIDIA shares, recently trading near $222, reflect trader focus on the company's August earnings momentum and early September acquisition of Hugging Face for approximately $12 billion, which strengthens its AI software ecosystem amid sustained data center demand. Fiscal Q2 revenue reached $96.2 billion with data center sales at $89 billion, and Q3 guidance of $108 billion supports the view that supply constraints, rather than demand, limit growth, though elevated memory costs are pressuring gross margins toward 74 percent. With probabilities tightly distributed across $215–$230 ranges and notable weight on sub-$200 outcomes, market-implied odds capture uncertainty around weekly volatility, Vera Rubin ramp execution, and broader tech sector reactions to macroeconomic data or policy signals.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
Volume
$20End Date
Sep 25, 2026Market Opened
Sep 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...NVIDIA shares, recently trading near $222, reflect trader focus on the company's August earnings momentum and early September acquisition of Hugging Face for approximately $12 billion, which strengthens its AI software ecosystem amid sustained data center demand. Fiscal Q2 revenue reached $96.2 billion with data center sales at $89 billion, and Q3 guidance of $108 billion supports the view that supply constraints, rather than demand, limit growth, though elevated memory costs are pressuring gross margins toward 74 percent. With probabilities tightly distributed across $215–$230 ranges and notable weight on sub-$200 outcomes, market-implied odds capture uncertainty around weekly volatility, Vera Rubin ramp execution, and broader tech sector reactions to macroeconomic data or policy signals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions