No criminal charges have followed the February 2026 arrest of Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to his former trade envoy role and Epstein contacts. He was released under investigation after questioning, with Thames Valley Police continuing inquiries into document-sharing claims but no Crown Prosecution Service decision announced by late August. Prior Epstein-related matters ended in a 2022 civil settlement without conviction, and recent assessments of additional allegations have not produced prosecutions. UK legal thresholds for charging public officials, combined with the absence of formal proceedings months later, underpin traders' 97.7% consensus on no prison sentence. A charging decision, new evidence from ongoing reviews, or U.S. cooperation could still shift the outlook.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2% chance
$221,715 Vol.
$221,715 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
2% chance
$221,715 Vol.
$221,715 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No criminal charges have followed the February 2026 arrest of Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to his former trade envoy role and Epstein contacts. He was released under investigation after questioning, with Thames Valley Police continuing inquiries into document-sharing claims but no Crown Prosecution Service decision announced by late August. Prior Epstein-related matters ended in a 2022 civil settlement without conviction, and recent assessments of additional allegations have not produced prosecutions. UK legal thresholds for charging public officials, combined with the absence of formal proceedings months later, underpin traders' 97.7% consensus on no prison sentence. A charging decision, new evidence from ongoing reviews, or U.S. cooperation could still shift the outlook.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ET
Volume
$221,715End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No criminal charges have followed the February 2026 arrest of Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to his former trade envoy role and Epstein contacts. He was released under investigation after questioning, with Thames Valley Police continuing inquiries into document-sharing claims but no Crown Prosecution Service decision announced by late August. Prior Epstein-related matters ended in a 2022 civil settlement without conviction, and recent assessments of additional allegations have not produced prosecutions. UK legal thresholds for charging public officials, combined with the absence of formal proceedings months later, underpin traders' 97.7% consensus on no prison sentence. A charging decision, new evidence from ongoing reviews, or U.S. cooperation could still shift the outlook.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$221,715End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...No criminal charges have followed the February 2026 arrest of Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to his former trade envoy role and Epstein contacts. He was released under investigation after questioning, with Thames Valley Police continuing inquiries into document-sharing claims but no Crown Prosecution Service decision announced by late August. Prior Epstein-related matters ended in a 2022 civil settlement without conviction, and recent assessments of additional allegations have not produced prosecutions. UK legal thresholds for charging public officials, combined with the absence of formal proceedings months later, underpin traders' 97.7% consensus on no prison sentence. A charging decision, new evidence from ongoing reviews, or U.S. cooperation could still shift the outlook.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions