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icon for The Game Awards: Best Independent Game

The Game Awards: Best Independent Game

icon for The Game Awards: Best Independent Game

The Game Awards: Best Independent Game

Big Walk 27.4%

Mina the Hollower 24%

Mewgenics 20%

MIO: Memories in Orbit 7.2%

Polymarket

$35,177 Vol.

Big Walk 27.4%

Mina the Hollower 24%

Mewgenics 20%

MIO: Memories in Orbit 7.2%

Polymarket

$35,177 Vol.

Big Walk

$3,332 Vol.

27%

Mina the Hollower

$6,026 Vol.

24%

Mewgenics

$3,902 Vol.

20%

MIO: Memories in Orbit

$626 Vol.

7%

Meccha Chameleon

$12,326 Vol.

5%

Mixtape

$387 Vol.

5%

Neverway

$552 Vol.

4%

Mouse: P.I. For Hire

$664 Vol.

4%

Cairn

$446 Vol.

3%

Fields of Mistria

$515 Vol.

2%

Esoteric Ebb

$361 Vol.

2%

Vampire Crawlers

$463 Vol.

2%

Order of the Sinking Star

$626 Vol.

1%

Witchbrook

$468 Vol.

1%

Phonopolis

$580 Vol.

1%

ZERO PARADES: For Dead Spies

$439 Vol.

1%

Titanium Court

$436 Vol.

1%

Grave Seasons

$403 Vol.

<1%

Reanimal

$547 Vol.

6%

Tenebris Somnia

$397 Vol.

<1%

MOLE

$401 Vol.

<1%

Replaced

$394 Vol.

<1%

inKONBINI: One Store. Many Stories

$392 Vol.

<1%

Coffee Talk Tokyo

$498 Vol.

<1%

The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game. If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Big Walk leads trader sentiment for The Game Awards Best Independent Game at 27.4% implied probability following its early August 2026 release, where House House’s co-op puzzle adventure earned universal acclaim and Metacritic scores near 94 for inventive communication mechanics and “friendslop” design. Mina the Hollower sits close behind at 23.5% on the strength of Yacht Club Games’ pedigree and May 2026 critical consensus for its retro Game Boy-inspired action-adventure. The tightly bunched field reflects a wide-open race among acclaimed indies like Mewgenics, MIO: Memories in Orbit, and Reanimal, with no single title dominating precursors or sales. Traders are pricing in uncertainty ahead of November nominations and the December 10 ceremony, where guild buzz, review trajectories, and historical TGA preference for polished, distinctive indies will likely decide the outcome.

The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game.

If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$35,177
End Date
Dec 10, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 6:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game. If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game. If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Big Walk leads trader sentiment for The Game Awards Best Independent Game at 27.4% implied probability following its early August 2026 release, where House House’s co-op puzzle adventure earned universal acclaim and Metacritic scores near 94 for inventive communication mechanics and “friendslop” design. Mina the Hollower sits close behind at 23.5% on the strength of Yacht Club Games’ pedigree and May 2026 critical consensus for its retro Game Boy-inspired action-adventure. The tightly bunched field reflects a wide-open race among acclaimed indies like Mewgenics, MIO: Memories in Orbit, and Reanimal, with no single title dominating precursors or sales. Traders are pricing in uncertainty ahead of November nominations and the December 10 ceremony, where guild buzz, review trajectories, and historical TGA preference for polished, distinctive indies will likely decide the outcome.

The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game.

If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$35,177
End Date
Dec 10, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 6:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game. If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"The Game Awards: Best Independent Game" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Big Walk" at 27%, followed by "Mina the Hollower" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "The Game Awards: Best Independent Game" has generated $35.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "The Game Awards: Best Independent Game," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "The Game Awards: Best Independent Game" is "Big Walk" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mina the Hollower" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "The Game Awards: Best Independent Game" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.