Grand Theft Auto VI holds a commanding 72.5% implied probability in The Game Awards Game of the Year market, reflecting trader consensus around Rockstar’s unmatched marketing momentum and the game’s status as the most anticipated release of 2026. Its Fall window and proven franchise dominance create a clear frontrunner narrative, consistent with historical patterns where major open-world tentpoles sweep awards cycles. Trailing titles such as Resident Evil Requiem (9.5%) and Phantom Blade Zero (5.3%) sit far behind, with limited recent updates or guild-level buzz to close the gap before December voting. Upcoming catalysts include any late-year trailers, review embargo timing, or surprise announcements that could shift sentiment, though the current spread underscores how few competitors match GTA VI’s cultural and commercial scale.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedThe Game Awards: Game of the Year
The Game Awards: Game of the Year
Grand Theft Auto VI 73%
Resident Evil Requiem 10%
Phantom Blade Zero 5.3%
The Duskbloods 4.7%
$22,835 Vol.
$22,835 Vol.
Grand Theft Auto VI
73%
Resident Evil Requiem
10%
Phantom Blade Zero
5%
The Duskbloods
5%
007 First Light
5%
Control Resonant
4%
Marvel's Wolverine
4%
Forza Horizon 6
2%
Cairn
1%
Exodus
1%
Marathon
1%
Mouse: P.I. For Hire
1%
Pragmata
1%
Slay the Spire 2
1%
Gears of War: E-Day
1%
Half-Life 3
1%
Stranger Than Heaven
1%
Esoteric Ebb
<1%
Fable
<1%
Onimusha: Way of the Sword
<1%
Saros
<1%
Crimson Desert
<1%
Nioh 3
<1%
Reanimal
<1%
Grand Theft Auto VI 73%
Resident Evil Requiem 10%
Phantom Blade Zero 5.3%
The Duskbloods 4.7%
$22,835 Vol.
$22,835 Vol.
Grand Theft Auto VI
73%
Resident Evil Requiem
10%
Phantom Blade Zero
5%
The Duskbloods
5%
007 First Light
5%
Control Resonant
4%
Marvel's Wolverine
4%
Forza Horizon 6
2%
Cairn
1%
Exodus
1%
Marathon
1%
Mouse: P.I. For Hire
1%
Pragmata
1%
Slay the Spire 2
1%
Gears of War: E-Day
1%
Half-Life 3
1%
Stranger Than Heaven
1%
Esoteric Ebb
<1%
Fable
<1%
Onimusha: Way of the Sword
<1%
Saros
<1%
Crimson Desert
<1%
Nioh 3
<1%
Reanimal
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year.
If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 3:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year.
If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Grand Theft Auto VI holds a commanding 72.5% implied probability in The Game Awards Game of the Year market, reflecting trader consensus around Rockstar’s unmatched marketing momentum and the game’s status as the most anticipated release of 2026. Its Fall window and proven franchise dominance create a clear frontrunner narrative, consistent with historical patterns where major open-world tentpoles sweep awards cycles. Trailing titles such as Resident Evil Requiem (9.5%) and Phantom Blade Zero (5.3%) sit far behind, with limited recent updates or guild-level buzz to close the gap before December voting. Upcoming catalysts include any late-year trailers, review embargo timing, or surprise announcements that could shift sentiment, though the current spread underscores how few competitors match GTA VI’s cultural and commercial scale.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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