Wild Horse Nine leads early trader sentiment in the wide-open 2027 Best Original Screenplay race, driven by Martin McDonagh’s established awards pedigree from prior Original Screenplay wins and nominations, a stacked ensemble cast, and its high-profile November release following a Venice premiere. Other projects including Obsession, Digger, Fjord, The Debut, and Josephine sit further back, reflecting the market’s emphasis on filmmaker reputation and studio positioning rather than completed films. With most contenders still awaiting screenings or reviews, the closely matched field leaves room for shifts once critical reception, guild nods such as WGA, and campaign momentum emerge later in the cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Wild Horse Nine 35%
The Debut 12.7%
Obsession 12%
Digger 10%
$22,395 Vol.
$22,395 Vol.
Mar 14, 2027
Wild Horse Nine
35%
The Debut
13%
Obsession
12%
Digger
10%
Fjord
7%
The Invite
5%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
5%
The Drama
4%
A Place in Hell
4%
Josephine
3%
The Odyssey
3%
Club Kid
3%
Elsinore
2%
Fatherland
2%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
8%
The Black Ball
8%
Forgotten Island
1%
Wild Horse Nine 35%
The Debut 12.7%
Obsession 12%
Digger 10%
$22,395 Vol.
$22,395 Vol.
Mar 14, 2027
Wild Horse Nine
$19,270 Vol.
35%
The Debut
$133 Vol.
13%
Obsession
$154 Vol.
12%
Digger
$694 Vol.
10%
Fjord
$1,423 Vol.
7%
The Invite
$39 Vol.
5%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
$59 Vol.
5%
The Drama
$39 Vol.
4%
A Place in Hell
$59 Vol.
4%
Josephine
$59 Vol.
3%
The Odyssey
$59 Vol.
3%
Club Kid
$43 Vol.
3%
Elsinore
$39 Vol.
2%
Fatherland
$39 Vol.
2%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
$106 Vol.
8%
The Black Ball
$97 Vol.
8%
Forgotten Island
$79 Vol.
1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Wild Horse Nine leads early trader sentiment in the wide-open 2027 Best Original Screenplay race, driven by Martin McDonagh’s established awards pedigree from prior Original Screenplay wins and nominations, a stacked ensemble cast, and its high-profile November release following a Venice premiere. Other projects including Obsession, Digger, Fjord, The Debut, and Josephine sit further back, reflecting the market’s emphasis on filmmaker reputation and studio positioning rather than completed films. With most contenders still awaiting screenings or reviews, the closely matched field leaves room for shifts once critical reception, guild nods such as WGA, and campaign momentum emerge later in the cycle.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Volume
$22,395End Date
Mar 14, 2027Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Wild Horse Nine leads early trader sentiment in the wide-open 2027 Best Original Screenplay race, driven by Martin McDonagh’s established awards pedigree from prior Original Screenplay wins and nominations, a stacked ensemble cast, and its high-profile November release following a Venice premiere. Other projects including Obsession, Digger, Fjord, The Debut, and Josephine sit further back, reflecting the market’s emphasis on filmmaker reputation and studio positioning rather than completed films. With most contenders still awaiting screenings or reviews, the closely matched field leaves room for shifts once critical reception, guild nods such as WGA, and campaign momentum emerge later in the cycle.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$22,395End Date
Mar 14, 2027Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wild Horse Nine leads early trader sentiment in the wide-open 2027 Best Original Screenplay race, driven by Martin McDonagh’s established awards pedigree from prior Original Screenplay wins and nominations, a stacked ensemble cast, and its high-profile November release following a Venice premiere. Other projects including Obsession, Digger, Fjord, The Debut, and Josephine sit further back, reflecting the market’s emphasis on filmmaker reputation and studio positioning rather than completed films. With most contenders still awaiting screenings or reviews, the closely matched field leaves room for shifts once critical reception, guild nods such as WGA, and campaign momentum emerge later in the cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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