With the 2027 Oscars more than a year away, trader consensus for Best Supporting Actress shows a wide-open field, reflected in the even 50% implied probabilities across dozens of candidates and Anne Hathaway's modest 39.5% lead. No 2026 releases have generated meaningful precursor momentum, guild buzz, or critical consensus to consolidate support, leaving outcomes dependent on fall festival premieres, early reviews, and eventual box-office or streaming performance. Sandra Hüller, Penélope Cruz, and Parker Posey sit at 20% or below on anticipated projects, while lower-priced names highlight the long timeline and historical pattern of late surges once awards campaigns intensify.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner
Anne Hathaway 40%
Penélope Cruz 13%
Mariana di Girolamo 7.6%
Sandra Hüller 6.8%
$10,734 Vol.
$10,734 Vol.
Mar 14, 2027
Anne Hathaway
40%
Penélope Cruz
13%
Mariana di Girolamo
8%
Sandra Hüller
7%
Betty Gilpin
7%
Zendaya
6%
Parker Posey
6%
Tao Okamoto
6%
Inde Navarrette
5%
Margaret Qualley
4%
Isabella Rossellini
3%
Danielle Deadwyler
3%
Gemma Chan
3%
Anne Hathaway 40%
Penélope Cruz 13%
Mariana di Girolamo 7.6%
Sandra Hüller 6.8%
$10,734 Vol.
$10,734 Vol.
Mar 14, 2027
Anne Hathaway
$8,024 Vol.
40%
Penélope Cruz
$595 Vol.
13%
Mariana di Girolamo
$286 Vol.
8%
Sandra Hüller
$404 Vol.
7%
Betty Gilpin
$256 Vol.
7%
Zendaya
$213 Vol.
6%
Parker Posey
$71 Vol.
6%
Tao Okamoto
$50 Vol.
6%
Inde Navarrette
$202 Vol.
5%
Margaret Qualley
$233 Vol.
4%
Isabella Rossellini
$70 Vol.
3%
Danielle Deadwyler
$222 Vol.
3%
Gemma Chan
$108 Vol.
3%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2027 Oscars more than a year away, trader consensus for Best Supporting Actress shows a wide-open field, reflected in the even 50% implied probabilities across dozens of candidates and Anne Hathaway's modest 39.5% lead. No 2026 releases have generated meaningful precursor momentum, guild buzz, or critical consensus to consolidate support, leaving outcomes dependent on fall festival premieres, early reviews, and eventual box-office or streaming performance. Sandra Hüller, Penélope Cruz, and Parker Posey sit at 20% or below on anticipated projects, while lower-priced names highlight the long timeline and historical pattern of late surges once awards campaigns intensify.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Volume
$10,734End Date
Mar 14, 2027Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2027 Oscars more than a year away, trader consensus for Best Supporting Actress shows a wide-open field, reflected in the even 50% implied probabilities across dozens of candidates and Anne Hathaway's modest 39.5% lead. No 2026 releases have generated meaningful precursor momentum, guild buzz, or critical consensus to consolidate support, leaving outcomes dependent on fall festival premieres, early reviews, and eventual box-office or streaming performance. Sandra Hüller, Penélope Cruz, and Parker Posey sit at 20% or below on anticipated projects, while lower-priced names highlight the long timeline and historical pattern of late surges once awards campaigns intensify.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,734End Date
Mar 14, 2027Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With the 2027 Oscars more than a year away, trader consensus for Best Supporting Actress shows a wide-open field, reflected in the even 50% implied probabilities across dozens of candidates and Anne Hathaway's modest 39.5% lead. No 2026 releases have generated meaningful precursor momentum, guild buzz, or critical consensus to consolidate support, leaving outcomes dependent on fall festival premieres, early reviews, and eventual box-office or streaming performance. Sandra Hüller, Penélope Cruz, and Parker Posey sit at 20% or below on anticipated projects, while lower-priced names highlight the long timeline and historical pattern of late surges once awards campaigns intensify.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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