The 2027 Best Actress market remains wide open this early in the cycle, with the bulk of contenders clustered near even money and reflecting Academy voters' typical late crystallization of preferences. Multiple high-profile 2026 releases, festival premieres, and guild precursors have yet to establish a clear frontrunner, leaving room for critical reception, box-office trajectories, and late-year campaigns to reshape narratives. Historical patterns show that strong reviews and SAG or critics' circle momentum often determine the eventual leader, while the secret-ballot process adds inherent unpredictability. Lower-priced names such as Julianne Moore signal trader caution around repeat contenders and unconfirmed eligibility, underscoring how upcoming announcements and awards-season launches will serve as the primary catalysts for shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOscars 2027: Best Actress Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner
Julianne Moore 27%
Inde Navarrette 18%
Renate Reinsve 14%
Sandra Hüller 12.5%
$103,821 Vol.
$103,821 Vol.
Mar 14, 2027
Julianne Moore
27%
Inde Navarrette
18%
Renate Reinsve
14%
Sandra Hüller
13%
Ruth Madeley
6%
Sophie Okonedo
5%
Michelle Williams
5%
Scarlett Johansson
4%
Virginie Efira
4%
Léa Seydoux
3%
Rachel Brosnahan
2%
Julianne Moore 27%
Inde Navarrette 18%
Renate Reinsve 14%
Sandra Hüller 12.5%
$103,821 Vol.
$103,821 Vol.
Mar 14, 2027
Julianne Moore
$68,872 Vol.
27%
Inde Navarrette
$20,377 Vol.
18%
Renate Reinsve
$10,476 Vol.
14%
Sandra Hüller
$3,213 Vol.
13%
Ruth Madeley
$206 Vol.
6%
Sophie Okonedo
$16 Vol.
5%
Michelle Williams
$108 Vol.
5%
Scarlett Johansson
$16 Vol.
4%
Virginie Efira
$21 Vol.
4%
Léa Seydoux
$490 Vol.
3%
Rachel Brosnahan
$26 Vol.
2%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 Best Actress market remains wide open this early in the cycle, with the bulk of contenders clustered near even money and reflecting Academy voters' typical late crystallization of preferences. Multiple high-profile 2026 releases, festival premieres, and guild precursors have yet to establish a clear frontrunner, leaving room for critical reception, box-office trajectories, and late-year campaigns to reshape narratives. Historical patterns show that strong reviews and SAG or critics' circle momentum often determine the eventual leader, while the secret-ballot process adds inherent unpredictability. Lower-priced names such as Julianne Moore signal trader caution around repeat contenders and unconfirmed eligibility, underscoring how upcoming announcements and awards-season launches will serve as the primary catalysts for shifts.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
Volume
$103,821End Date
Mar 14, 2027Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 Best Actress market remains wide open this early in the cycle, with the bulk of contenders clustered near even money and reflecting Academy voters' typical late crystallization of preferences. Multiple high-profile 2026 releases, festival premieres, and guild precursors have yet to establish a clear frontrunner, leaving room for critical reception, box-office trajectories, and late-year campaigns to reshape narratives. Historical patterns show that strong reviews and SAG or critics' circle momentum often determine the eventual leader, while the secret-ballot process adds inherent unpredictability. Lower-priced names such as Julianne Moore signal trader caution around repeat contenders and unconfirmed eligibility, underscoring how upcoming announcements and awards-season launches will serve as the primary catalysts for shifts.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$103,821End Date
Mar 14, 2027Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2027 Best Actress market remains wide open this early in the cycle, with the bulk of contenders clustered near even money and reflecting Academy voters' typical late crystallization of preferences. Multiple high-profile 2026 releases, festival premieres, and guild precursors have yet to establish a clear frontrunner, leaving room for critical reception, box-office trajectories, and late-year campaigns to reshape narratives. Historical patterns show that strong reviews and SAG or critics' circle momentum often determine the eventual leader, while the secret-ballot process adds inherent unpredictability. Lower-priced names such as Julianne Moore signal trader caution around repeat contenders and unconfirmed eligibility, underscoring how upcoming announcements and awards-season launches will serve as the primary catalysts for shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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