**Kate O’Flynn’s breakout performance as Patricia in the buzzy Apple TV+ horror-comedy “Widow’s Bay” drives the 62.9% market-implied odds, fueled by the freshman series’ 19 Emmy nominations and strong critical reception as one of 2026’s standout new shows.** The horror-comedy’s blend of genre elements and character work has generated significant awards momentum, including a TCA Individual Achievement in Comedy win for O’Flynn and industry praise positioning her ahead of more established contenders. Hannah Einbinder’s 24.5% reflects “Hacks” final-season strength and her prior win, yet the show’s multiple supporting nods and voter fatigue in a crowded field cap its upside. Lower probabilities for Janelle James, Michelle Pfeiffer, Megan Stalter, Jessica Williams, and Dale Dickey align with limited precursor traction and split attention within their respective series as final voting concluded August 26 ahead of the September 14 ceremony.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEmmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series
Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” 62.9%
Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks” 23%
Michelle Pfeiffer – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” 4.3%
Janelle James – “Abbott Elementary” 3.3%
$28,404 Vol.
$28,404 Vol.
Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay”
63%
Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks”
23%
Michelle Pfeiffer – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
4%
Janelle James – “Abbott Elementary”
3%
Megan Stalter – “Hacks”
3%
Jessica Williams – “Shrinking”
2%
Dale Dickey – “Widow’s Bay”
2%
Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” 62.9%
Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks” 23%
Michelle Pfeiffer – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” 4.3%
Janelle James – “Abbott Elementary” 3.3%
$28,404 Vol.
$28,404 Vol.
Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay”
63%
Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks”
23%
Michelle Pfeiffer – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
4%
Janelle James – “Abbott Elementary”
3%
Megan Stalter – “Hacks”
3%
Jessica Williams – “Shrinking”
2%
Dale Dickey – “Widow’s Bay”
2%
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Kate O’Flynn’s breakout performance as Patricia in the buzzy Apple TV+ horror-comedy “Widow’s Bay” drives the 62.9% market-implied odds, fueled by the freshman series’ 19 Emmy nominations and strong critical reception as one of 2026’s standout new shows.** The horror-comedy’s blend of genre elements and character work has generated significant awards momentum, including a TCA Individual Achievement in Comedy win for O’Flynn and industry praise positioning her ahead of more established contenders. Hannah Einbinder’s 24.5% reflects “Hacks” final-season strength and her prior win, yet the show’s multiple supporting nods and voter fatigue in a crowded field cap its upside. Lower probabilities for Janelle James, Michelle Pfeiffer, Megan Stalter, Jessica Williams, and Dale Dickey align with limited precursor traction and split attention within their respective series as final voting concluded August 26 ahead of the September 14 ceremony.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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