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icon for Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series

Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series

icon for Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series

Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series

Shailene Woodley – “Paradise” 50.8%

Brittany Allen – “The Pitt” 21.2%

Merritt Wever – “The Gilded Age” 8.5%

Miriam Shor – “Pluribus” 7.7%

Polymarket

$30,965 Vol.

Shailene Woodley – “Paradise” 50.8%

Brittany Allen – “The Pitt” 21.2%

Merritt Wever – “The Gilded Age” 8.5%

Miriam Shor – “Pluribus” 7.7%

Polymarket

$30,965 Vol.

Shailene Woodley – “Paradise”

$7,903 Vol.

51%

Brittany Allen – “The Pitt”

$16,328 Vol.

21%

Merritt Wever – “The Gilded Age”

$1,457 Vol.

9%

Miriam Shor – “Pluribus”

$2,753 Vol.

8%

Tal Anderson – “The Pitt”

$1,721 Vol.

6%

Tina Ivlev – “The Pitt”

$803 Vol.

5%

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actress in a drama series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Shailene Woodley leads trader sentiment for Outstanding Guest Actress in a Drama Series at the 2026 Emmys with her standout turn as Annie Clay in Hulu’s *Paradise* Season 2, where her emotional arc—including a harrowing childbirth sequence—earned strong critical attention and no internal competition from her series. The market-implied 50.7% reflects this momentum ahead of final voting, which closed August 26 ahead of the September 14 ceremony. Multiple nominees from the dominant *The Pitt* (Brittany Allen at 21.2%, plus Tal Anderson and Tina Ivlev) risk splitting votes despite the show’s overall strength and Allen’s publicized self-submission campaign. Merritt Wever’s prior category win and Miriam Shor’s *Pluribus* nomination add further context to the competitive field.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actress in a drama series”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$30,965
End Date
Sep 14, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actress in a drama series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actress in a drama series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Shailene Woodley leads trader sentiment for Outstanding Guest Actress in a Drama Series at the 2026 Emmys with her standout turn as Annie Clay in Hulu’s *Paradise* Season 2, where her emotional arc—including a harrowing childbirth sequence—earned strong critical attention and no internal competition from her series. The market-implied 50.7% reflects this momentum ahead of final voting, which closed August 26 ahead of the September 14 ceremony. Multiple nominees from the dominant *The Pitt* (Brittany Allen at 21.2%, plus Tal Anderson and Tina Ivlev) risk splitting votes despite the show’s overall strength and Allen’s publicized self-submission campaign. Merritt Wever’s prior category win and Miriam Shor’s *Pluribus* nomination add further context to the competitive field.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actress in a drama series”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$30,965
End Date
Sep 14, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actress in a drama series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Shailene Woodley – “Paradise”" at 51%, followed by "Brittany Allen – “The Pitt”" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series" has generated $31K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series" is "Shailene Woodley – “Paradise”" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Brittany Allen – “The Pitt”" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.