**Linda Cardellini’s performance as Carol Love-Smernitch in the HBO Max limited series *DTF St. Louis* has established her as the clear market leader for Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie at the 78th Emmys.** The dark comedy-crime miniseries earned 13 nominations overall, including multiple acting nods, and secured key precursor wins such as the Astra TV Award for Cardellini in the category. Its blend of suburban malaise, ensemble dynamics, and strong reviews positioned the show—and her role—as the dominant contender following July nominations. The other nominees trail significantly, reflecting more limited momentum: Youn Yuh-jung’s return in *Beef*, Constance Zimmer in the FX limited series *Love Story: John F. Kennedy Jr. & Carolyn Bessette*, Laurie Metcalf in Netflix’s *Monster: The Ed Gein Story*, Dakota Fanning in Peacock’s *All Her Fault*, and Joy Sunday (also from *DTF St. Louis*). A late-August Emmy category adjustment moved the supporting limited-series acting categories to the Creative Arts ceremony, but this has not altered the underlying voter sentiment favoring Cardellini’s standout work ahead of the September 14 main telecast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEmmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie
Linda Cardellini – “DTF St. Louis” 79%
Youn Yuh-jung – “Beef” 7.4%
Constance Zimmer – “Love Story: John F. Kennedy Jr. & Carolyn Bessette” 7.2%
Laurie Metcalf – “Monster: The Ed Gein Story” 4.0%
$40,727 Vol.
$40,727 Vol.
Linda Cardellini – “DTF St. Louis”
79%
Youn Yuh-jung – “Beef”
7%
Constance Zimmer – “Love Story: John F. Kennedy Jr. & Carolyn Bessette”
7%
Laurie Metcalf – “Monster: The Ed Gein Story”
4%
Dakota Fanning – “All Her Fault”
4%
Joy Sunday – “DTF St. Louis”
2%
Linda Cardellini – “DTF St. Louis” 79%
Youn Yuh-jung – “Beef” 7.4%
Constance Zimmer – “Love Story: John F. Kennedy Jr. & Carolyn Bessette” 7.2%
Laurie Metcalf – “Monster: The Ed Gein Story” 4.0%
$40,727 Vol.
$40,727 Vol.
Linda Cardellini – “DTF St. Louis”
79%
Youn Yuh-jung – “Beef”
7%
Constance Zimmer – “Love Story: John F. Kennedy Jr. & Carolyn Bessette”
7%
Laurie Metcalf – “Monster: The Ed Gein Story”
4%
Dakota Fanning – “All Her Fault”
4%
Joy Sunday – “DTF St. Louis”
2%
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 12:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Linda Cardellini’s performance as Carol Love-Smernitch in the HBO Max limited series *DTF St. Louis* has established her as the clear market leader for Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie at the 78th Emmys.** The dark comedy-crime miniseries earned 13 nominations overall, including multiple acting nods, and secured key precursor wins such as the Astra TV Award for Cardellini in the category. Its blend of suburban malaise, ensemble dynamics, and strong reviews positioned the show—and her role—as the dominant contender following July nominations. The other nominees trail significantly, reflecting more limited momentum: Youn Yuh-jung’s return in *Beef*, Constance Zimmer in the FX limited series *Love Story: John F. Kennedy Jr. & Carolyn Bessette*, Laurie Metcalf in Netflix’s *Monster: The Ed Gein Story*, Dakota Fanning in Peacock’s *All Her Fault*, and Joy Sunday (also from *DTF St. Louis*). A late-August Emmy category adjustment moved the supporting limited-series acting categories to the Creative Arts ceremony, but this has not altered the underlying voter sentiment favoring Cardellini’s standout work ahead of the September 14 main telecast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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