Betty Gilpin leads the market at 41% implied probability for Outstanding Guest Actress in a Comedy Series thanks to “Widow’s Bay,” the spring breakout Apple TV horror-comedy that earned 19 nominations including for the series itself. Critics hailed its tonal balance and ensemble, boosting Gilpin’s episode “Our History” amid strong industry narrative around the freshman show’s TCA recognition and renewal. Hacks fields five nominees, creating classic vote-splitting that caps individual chances for Kaitlin Olson (20%) and the rest of its ensemble despite the series’ established voter loyalty. Jamie Lee Curtis sits at 14% on the strength of her recurring “The Bear” turn, but faces stiff competition from the new-show momentum. Final voting closes ahead of the September 14 ceremony, leaving room for late shifts in academy sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEmmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series
Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series
Betty Gilpin – “Widow’s Bay” 41.1%
Kaitlin Olson – “Hacks” 19.7%
Jamie Lee Curtis – “The Bear” 14.2%
Leslie Bibb – “Hacks” 6.7%
$60,986 Vol.
$60,986 Vol.
Betty Gilpin – “Widow’s Bay”
41%
Kaitlin Olson – “Hacks”
20%
Jamie Lee Curtis – “The Bear”
14%
Leslie Bibb – “Hacks”
7%
Laurie Metcalf – “Hacks”
6%
Cherry Jones – “Hacks”
5%
Lauren Weedman – “Hacks”
4%
Betty Gilpin – “Widow’s Bay” 41.1%
Kaitlin Olson – “Hacks” 19.7%
Jamie Lee Curtis – “The Bear” 14.2%
Leslie Bibb – “Hacks” 6.7%
$60,986 Vol.
$60,986 Vol.
Betty Gilpin – “Widow’s Bay”
41%
Kaitlin Olson – “Hacks”
20%
Jamie Lee Curtis – “The Bear”
14%
Leslie Bibb – “Hacks”
7%
Laurie Metcalf – “Hacks”
6%
Cherry Jones – “Hacks”
5%
Lauren Weedman – “Hacks”
4%
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 8:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Betty Gilpin leads the market at 41% implied probability for Outstanding Guest Actress in a Comedy Series thanks to “Widow’s Bay,” the spring breakout Apple TV horror-comedy that earned 19 nominations including for the series itself. Critics hailed its tonal balance and ensemble, boosting Gilpin’s episode “Our History” amid strong industry narrative around the freshman show’s TCA recognition and renewal. Hacks fields five nominees, creating classic vote-splitting that caps individual chances for Kaitlin Olson (20%) and the rest of its ensemble despite the series’ established voter loyalty. Jamie Lee Curtis sits at 14% on the strength of her recurring “The Bear” turn, but faces stiff competition from the new-show momentum. Final voting closes ahead of the September 14 ceremony, leaving room for late shifts in academy sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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