Widow’s Bay’s emergence as the 60% market favorite stems from its spring 2026 debut as Apple TV+’s buzzy horror-comedy breakout, which earned 19 Emmy nominations—including a top-series slot—and widespread critical praise for balancing scares with sharp humor. This freshman momentum has overtaken Hacks at 35.5%, despite the HBO Max series closing its run with a record 24 nominations and a prior win. Abbott Elementary and The Bear trail with minimal implied odds, reflecting limited recent momentum amid the two-way race. Final voting concludes August 26 ahead of the September 14 ceremony, where guild and critics’ nods historically favor both established favorites and acclaimed newcomers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEmmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series
Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series
“Widow’s Bay” 60%
“Hacks” 35.5%
“Abbott Elementary” 2.6%
“The Bear” <1%
$77,493 Vol.
$77,493 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
“Widow’s Bay”
60%
“Hacks”
36%
“Abbott Elementary”
3%
“The Bear”
1%
“Shrinking”
1%
“Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
<1%
“Nobody Wants This”
<1%
“Only Murders in the Building”
<1%
“Widow’s Bay” 60%
“Hacks” 35.5%
“Abbott Elementary” 2.6%
“The Bear” <1%
$77,493 Vol.
$77,493 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
“Widow’s Bay”
$26,775 Vol.
60%
“Hacks”
$16,284 Vol.
36%
“Abbott Elementary”
$5,213 Vol.
3%
“The Bear”
$6,634 Vol.
1%
“Shrinking”
$5,500 Vol.
1%
“Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
$5,110 Vol.
<1%
“Nobody Wants This”
$6,584 Vol.
<1%
“Only Murders in the Building”
$5,394 Vol.
<1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Widow’s Bay’s emergence as the 60% market favorite stems from its spring 2026 debut as Apple TV+’s buzzy horror-comedy breakout, which earned 19 Emmy nominations—including a top-series slot—and widespread critical praise for balancing scares with sharp humor. This freshman momentum has overtaken Hacks at 35.5%, despite the HBO Max series closing its run with a record 24 nominations and a prior win. Abbott Elementary and The Bear trail with minimal implied odds, reflecting limited recent momentum amid the two-way race. Final voting concludes August 26 ahead of the September 14 ceremony, where guild and critics’ nods historically favor both established favorites and acclaimed newcomers.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
Volume
$77,493End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Widow’s Bay’s emergence as the 60% market favorite stems from its spring 2026 debut as Apple TV+’s buzzy horror-comedy breakout, which earned 19 Emmy nominations—including a top-series slot—and widespread critical praise for balancing scares with sharp humor. This freshman momentum has overtaken Hacks at 35.5%, despite the HBO Max series closing its run with a record 24 nominations and a prior win. Abbott Elementary and The Bear trail with minimal implied odds, reflecting limited recent momentum amid the two-way race. Final voting concludes August 26 ahead of the September 14 ceremony, where guild and critics’ nods historically favor both established favorites and acclaimed newcomers.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$77,493End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Widow’s Bay’s emergence as the 60% market favorite stems from its spring 2026 debut as Apple TV+’s buzzy horror-comedy breakout, which earned 19 Emmy nominations—including a top-series slot—and widespread critical praise for balancing scares with sharp humor. This freshman momentum has overtaken Hacks at 35.5%, despite the HBO Max series closing its run with a record 24 nominations and a prior win. Abbott Elementary and The Bear trail with minimal implied odds, reflecting limited recent momentum amid the two-way race. Final voting concludes August 26 ahead of the September 14 ceremony, where guild and critics’ nods historically favor both established favorites and acclaimed newcomers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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