Monday’s dominant 57.5% implied probability stems from major breaking stories, including actor Hayden Panettiere’s death and widespread severe weather alerts, which typically drive spikes in evening news audiences. Tuesday’s 33.5% share reflects ongoing coverage of primaries and related developments, while midweek and weekend days trail amid steadier but less sensational reporting on trade tensions, extreme heat, wildfires, and international incidents. Traders weigh these against NBC Nightly News’ consistent year-over-year gains and historical patterns where celebrity and weather events lift Monday totals most sharply. With ratings data confirming elevated early-week viewership across broadcasts, market odds capture the consensus that Monday’s narrative momentum created the clearest edge for the week’s highest audience.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMost Viewed Day of NBC Nightly News This Week (Aug 17-23)
Most Viewed Day of NBC Nightly News This Week (Aug 17-23)
Monday 99.5%
Friday 51%
Saturday 45%
Sunday 42%
$2,509 Vol.
$2,509 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
Monday
Yes
Tuesday
No
Wednesday
No
Thursday
No
Friday
No
Saturday
No
Sunday
No
Monday 99.5%
Friday 51%
Saturday 45%
Sunday 42%
$2,509 Vol.
$2,509 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
Monday
$789 Vol.
Yes
Tuesday
$196 Vol.
No
Wednesday
$488 Vol.
No
Thursday
$136 Vol.
No
Friday
$508 Vol.
No
Saturday
$197 Vol.
No
Sunday
$196 Vol.
No
Nielsen updates its Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart on Thursdays, reflecting U.S. TV viewership data from the previous week (Monday-Sunday).
This market will resolve according to the day of the week on which the edition of NBC Nightly News with the highest number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) aired during the Week of August 17 - August 23, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If Nielsen reports an entry for NBC Nightly News without specifying the day of the week on which it aired, that entry will be treated as having aired on Monday.
If the specified show does not appear on the final chart for the specified week, this market will resolve to "Monday".
If two or more editions of NBC Nightly News are reported with the same number of viewers, and that figure is the highest reported for the specified week, this market will resolve to the earliest of those days within the Monday-Sunday week.
If the data for the specified week is entirely unreleased by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to "Monday". If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point.
This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).Monday’s dominant 57.5% implied probability stems from major breaking stories, including actor Hayden Panettiere’s death and widespread severe weather alerts, which typically drive spikes in evening news audiences. Tuesday’s 33.5% share reflects ongoing coverage of primaries and related developments, while midweek and weekend days trail amid steadier but less sensational reporting on trade tensions, extreme heat, wildfires, and international incidents. Traders weigh these against NBC Nightly News’ consistent year-over-year gains and historical patterns where celebrity and weather events lift Monday totals most sharply. With ratings data confirming elevated early-week viewership across broadcasts, market odds capture the consensus that Monday’s narrative momentum created the clearest edge for the week’s highest audience.
Nielsen updates its Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart on Thursdays, reflecting U.S. TV viewership data from the previous week (Monday-Sunday).
This market will resolve according to the day of the week on which the edition of NBC Nightly News with the highest number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) aired during the Week of August 17 - August 23, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If Nielsen reports an entry for NBC Nightly News without specifying the day of the week on which it aired, that entry will be treated as having aired on Monday.
If the specified show does not appear on the final chart for the specified week, this market will resolve to "Monday".
If two or more editions of NBC Nightly News are reported with the same number of viewers, and that figure is the highest reported for the specified week, this market will resolve to the earliest of those days within the Monday-Sunday week.
If the data for the specified week is entirely unreleased by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to "Monday". If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point.
This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
This market will resolve according to the day of the week on which the edition of NBC Nightly News with the highest number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) aired during the Week of August 17 - August 23, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If Nielsen reports an entry for NBC Nightly News without specifying the day of the week on which it aired, that entry will be treated as having aired on Monday.
If the specified show does not appear on the final chart for the specified week, this market will resolve to "Monday".
If two or more editions of NBC Nightly News are reported with the same number of viewers, and that figure is the highest reported for the specified week, this market will resolve to the earliest of those days within the Monday-Sunday week.
If the data for the specified week is entirely unreleased by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to "Monday". If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point.
This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volume
$2,509End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#televisionResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Nielsen updates its Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart on Thursdays, reflecting U.S. TV viewership data from the previous week (Monday-Sunday).
This market will resolve according to the day of the week on which the edition of NBC Nightly News with the highest number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) aired during the Week of August 17 - August 23, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If Nielsen reports an entry for NBC Nightly News without specifying the day of the week on which it aired, that entry will be treated as having aired on Monday.
If the specified show does not appear on the final chart for the specified week, this market will resolve to "Monday".
If two or more editions of NBC Nightly News are reported with the same number of viewers, and that figure is the highest reported for the specified week, this market will resolve to the earliest of those days within the Monday-Sunday week.
If the data for the specified week is entirely unreleased by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to "Monday". If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point.
This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).Monday’s dominant 57.5% implied probability stems from major breaking stories, including actor Hayden Panettiere’s death and widespread severe weather alerts, which typically drive spikes in evening news audiences. Tuesday’s 33.5% share reflects ongoing coverage of primaries and related developments, while midweek and weekend days trail amid steadier but less sensational reporting on trade tensions, extreme heat, wildfires, and international incidents. Traders weigh these against NBC Nightly News’ consistent year-over-year gains and historical patterns where celebrity and weather events lift Monday totals most sharply. With ratings data confirming elevated early-week viewership across broadcasts, market odds capture the consensus that Monday’s narrative momentum created the clearest edge for the week’s highest audience.
Nielsen updates its Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart on Thursdays, reflecting U.S. TV viewership data from the previous week (Monday-Sunday).
This market will resolve according to the day of the week on which the edition of NBC Nightly News with the highest number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) aired during the Week of August 17 - August 23, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If Nielsen reports an entry for NBC Nightly News without specifying the day of the week on which it aired, that entry will be treated as having aired on Monday.
If the specified show does not appear on the final chart for the specified week, this market will resolve to "Monday".
If two or more editions of NBC Nightly News are reported with the same number of viewers, and that figure is the highest reported for the specified week, this market will resolve to the earliest of those days within the Monday-Sunday week.
If the data for the specified week is entirely unreleased by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to "Monday". If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point.
This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
This market will resolve according to the day of the week on which the edition of NBC Nightly News with the highest number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) aired during the Week of August 17 - August 23, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If Nielsen reports an entry for NBC Nightly News without specifying the day of the week on which it aired, that entry will be treated as having aired on Monday.
If the specified show does not appear on the final chart for the specified week, this market will resolve to "Monday".
If two or more editions of NBC Nightly News are reported with the same number of viewers, and that figure is the highest reported for the specified week, this market will resolve to the earliest of those days within the Monday-Sunday week.
If the data for the specified week is entirely unreleased by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to "Monday". If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point.
This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
Volume
$2,509End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#televisionResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Monday’s dominant 57.5% implied probability stems from major breaking stories, including actor Hayden Panettiere’s death and widespread severe weather alerts, which typically drive spikes in evening news audiences. Tuesday’s 33.5% share reflects ongoing coverage of primaries and related developments, while midweek and weekend days trail amid steadier but less sensational reporting on trade tensions, extreme heat, wildfires, and international incidents. Traders weigh these against NBC Nightly News’ consistent year-over-year gains and historical patterns where celebrity and weather events lift Monday totals most sharply. With ratings data confirming elevated early-week viewership across broadcasts, market odds capture the consensus that Monday’s narrative momentum created the clearest edge for the week’s highest audience.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
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Frequently Asked Questions