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icon for America's Got Talent S21: Winner

America's Got Talent S21: Winner

icon for America's Got Talent S21: Winner

America's Got Talent S21: Winner

Nene Royal 73%

Come Here 57%

Holland and Sienna 57%

Young & Strange 57%

Polymarket
NEW

Nene Royal 73%

Come Here 57%

Holland and Sienna 57%

Young & Strange 57%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Nene Royal

Nene Royal

$61 Vol.

54%

icon for Come Here

Come Here

$40 Vol.

57%

icon for Holland and Sienna

Holland and Sienna

$40 Vol.

57%

icon for Young & Strange

Young & Strange

$40 Vol.

57%

icon for Olivia Befus

Olivia Befus

$40 Vol.

56%

icon for Bird & Byron

Bird & Byron

$40 Vol.

55%

icon for LaRussell

LaRussell

$40 Vol.

55%

icon for Brad and Tracy

Brad and Tracy

$40 Vol.

54%

icon for Mackenzie Sol

Mackenzie Sol

$40 Vol.

54%

icon for Geno Ploeger

Geno Ploeger

$40 Vol.

52%

icon for Akira

Akira

$55 Vol.

50%

icon for Veronika Goroshkova

Veronika Goroshkova

$40 Vol.

50%

icon for Isaac Atkins

Isaac Atkins

$40 Vol.

48%

icon for Pynk Beard

Pynk Beard

$40 Vol.

48%

icon for Unitree

Unitree

$40 Vol.

48%

icon for Rubén Roldán Bustos

Rubén Roldán Bustos

$40 Vol.

46%

icon for Maria

Maria

$0 Vol.

38%

icon for Herwan Legaillard

Herwan Legaillard

$40 Vol.

35%

icon for Luke Taleno

Luke Taleno

$40 Vol.

34%

icon for ACRO Crew

ACRO Crew

$0 Vol.

31%

icon for Travis Garland

Travis Garland

$240 Vol.

29%

icon for Royal Lasers

Royal Lasers

$40 Vol.

26%

icon for Hundred Fingers

Hundred Fingers

$473 Vol.

10%

icon for Lai Noelle

Lai Noelle

$392 Vol.

6%

icon for Lara D

Lara D

$415 Vol.

5%

icon for Sando

Sando

$50 Vol.

4%

icon for Ashford Sanders

Ashford Sanders

$90 Vol.

4%

icon for Brook Lynn

Brook Lynn

$55 Vol.

4%

icon for James & Marina

James & Marina

$55 Vol.

4%

icon for Jesse White Tumbling Team

Jesse White Tumbling Team

$90 Vol.

4%

icon for The CommUNITY ATL Choir

The CommUNITY ATL Choir

$90 Vol.

4%

icon for Béty

Béty

$55 Vol.

2%

icon for Butter & Grit

Butter & Grit

$55 Vol.

2%

icon for Cameron Logsdon

Cameron Logsdon

$55 Vol.

2%

icon for Cesar Dias

Cesar Dias

$55 Vol.

2%

icon for Cris Sosa

Cris Sosa

$55 Vol.

2%

icon for Daniel Alvarez

Daniel Alvarez

$55 Vol.

2%

icon for Elsie

Elsie

$55 Vol.

2%

icon for Guy Kelton Jones I

Guy Kelton Jones I

$55 Vol.

2%

icon for Jesse Joe

Jesse Joe

$55 Vol.

2%

icon for Kameron Marshall

Kameron Marshall

$55 Vol.

2%

icon for Nyjah Music & Zyah Rhythm

Nyjah Music & Zyah Rhythm

$55 Vol.

2%

icon for Patrox

Patrox

$55 Vol.

2%

icon for Tyrone and Margo

Tyrone and Margo

$55 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to the act who wins America’s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21. Acts will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts’ listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. If AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be footage from America’s Got Talent.Nene Royal’s recent Live Golden Buzzer from Mel B during her powerful Soundgarden “Black Hole Sun” quarterfinal performance on August 25 has propelled her to frontrunner status at 54% implied probability, building on the massive virality of her July “Zombie” audition that became Season 21’s most-viewed clip with hundreds of millions of views. Judges including Howie Mandel and Sofía Vergara publicly highlighted her rock energy, guitar skills, and star potential, creating clear momentum ahead of the remaining quarterfinals and semifinals. The broad field of 44-plus acts, including Hundred Fingers, Geno Ploeger, and ACRO Crew, keeps most other implied odds clustered near 50% or lower amid limited live data and ongoing public voting, underscoring how a single standout performance can shift trader consensus in this unpredictable format before the September 23 finale.

This market will resolve to the act who wins America’s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21.

Acts will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts’ listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be footage from America’s Got Talent.
Volume
$3,440
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 1:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the act who wins America’s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21. Acts will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts’ listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. If AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be footage from America’s Got Talent.
This market will resolve to the act who wins America’s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21. Acts will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts’ listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. If AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be footage from America’s Got Talent.Nene Royal’s recent Live Golden Buzzer from Mel B during her powerful Soundgarden “Black Hole Sun” quarterfinal performance on August 25 has propelled her to frontrunner status at 54% implied probability, building on the massive virality of her July “Zombie” audition that became Season 21’s most-viewed clip with hundreds of millions of views. Judges including Howie Mandel and Sofía Vergara publicly highlighted her rock energy, guitar skills, and star potential, creating clear momentum ahead of the remaining quarterfinals and semifinals. The broad field of 44-plus acts, including Hundred Fingers, Geno Ploeger, and ACRO Crew, keeps most other implied odds clustered near 50% or lower amid limited live data and ongoing public voting, underscoring how a single standout performance can shift trader consensus in this unpredictable format before the September 23 finale.

This market will resolve to the act who wins America’s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21.

Acts will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts’ listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be footage from America’s Got Talent.
Volume
$3,440
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 1:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the act who wins America’s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21. Acts will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts’ listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. If AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be footage from America’s Got Talent.

Related

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Will Maria be the runner-up of AGT Season 21?

49%
icon for Will Unitree advance to the Semifinals or Finals of AGT Season 21 during the Quarterfinals?

Will Unitree advance to the Semifinals or Finals of AGT Season 21 during the Quarterfinals?

63%
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Will Danelik Galazan win Big Brother Argentina 2026?

49%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"America's Got Talent S21: Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nene Royal" at 54%, followed by "Maria" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"America's Got Talent S21: Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "America's Got Talent S21: Winner," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "America's Got Talent S21: Winner" is "Nene Royal" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Maria" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "America's Got Talent S21: Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.