**ABC World News Tonight with David Muir’s Monday, August 17 broadcast delivered the decisive ratings spike that locked in the 9–9.5 million range at essentially 100% implied probability.** Nielsen’s live-plus-same-day figures placed that episode at 9.063 million total viewers—its strongest single telecast since March—driven by wall-to-wall coverage of actress Hayden Panettiere’s sudden death at age 36 alongside ongoing weather and political stories. The week’s overall average of 8.462 million confirmed the pattern of steady dominance, with WNT posting double-digit year-over-year gains and outpacing NBC by nearly 1.8 million viewers. Because the market resolves strictly on the single highest episode, only a substantial downward Nielsen revision or an unreported later-night surge could realistically shift the outcome into a lower bin; both remain highly improbable given the data already released.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated# Views of Most Viewed ABC World News Tonight Episode This Week (Aug 17-23)
9m–9.5m 99.5%
<7m 1.0%
7m–7.5m 1.0%
7.5m–8m 1.0%
$827 Vol.
$827 Vol.
<7m
No
7m–7.5m
No
7.5m–8m
No
8m–8.5m
No
8.5m–9m
No
9m–9.5m
Yes
9.5m–10m
No
10m+
No
9m–9.5m 99.5%
<7m 1.0%
7m–7.5m 1.0%
7.5m–8m 1.0%
$827 Vol.
$827 Vol.
<7m
No
7m–7.5m
No
7.5m–8m
No
8m–8.5m
No
8.5m–9m
No
9m–9.5m
Yes
9.5m–10m
No
10m+
No
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed episode of ABC World News Tonight for the Week of August 17 - August 23, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If the specified show does not appear on the final chart for the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the data for the specified week is entirely unreleased by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve according to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, or if only some episodes of ABC World News Tonight appear on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point.
If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 3:55 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#televisionResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed episode of ABC World News Tonight for the Week of August 17 - August 23, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If the specified show does not appear on the final chart for the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the data for the specified week is entirely unreleased by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve according to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, or if only some episodes of ABC World News Tonight appear on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point.
If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
Resolution Source
https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#televisionResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**ABC World News Tonight with David Muir’s Monday, August 17 broadcast delivered the decisive ratings spike that locked in the 9–9.5 million range at essentially 100% implied probability.** Nielsen’s live-plus-same-day figures placed that episode at 9.063 million total viewers—its strongest single telecast since March—driven by wall-to-wall coverage of actress Hayden Panettiere’s sudden death at age 36 alongside ongoing weather and political stories. The week’s overall average of 8.462 million confirmed the pattern of steady dominance, with WNT posting double-digit year-over-year gains and outpacing NBC by nearly 1.8 million viewers. Because the market resolves strictly on the single highest episode, only a substantial downward Nielsen revision or an unreported later-night surge could realistically shift the outcome into a lower bin; both remain highly improbable given the data already released.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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