Magnus Carlsen and Hikaru Nakamura lead the implied probabilities at 18% and 17.5% for the September 1 Titled Tuesday, reflecting their historical blitz dominance and consistent participation in Chess.com's weekly 11-round Swiss for titled players. Recent form shows the field remains extremely deep and competitive, with Jan-Krzysztof Duda claiming the August 25 victory over Arjun Erigaisi and a host of grandmasters like Alireza Firouzja, Denis Lazavik, Alexey Sarana, and Lê Tuấn Minh securing wins in prior weeks. Multiple players routinely post 9+ scores amid 400-500 entrants, and factors such as recent Esports World Cup fatigue, variable participation, and the single-day format contribute to the bunched pricing across dozens of contenders. This distribution captures trader consensus on the inherent variance in elite online blitz where stylistic matchups and momentum shifts frequently determine outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMagnus Carlsen 18%
Brandon Jacobson 9%
Tuomas Turunen 8%
Arjun Erigaisi 8%
Magnus Carlsen
18%
Brandon Jacobson
9%
Tuomas Turunen
8%
Arjun Erigaisi
8%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
7%
Hikaru Nakamura
7%
Denis Lazavik
7%
Bardiya Daneshvar
5%
Frederik Svane
5%
Javokhir Sindarov
5%
Awonder Liang
5%
Andrew Tang
5%
Gukesh Dommaraju
5%
Wei Yi
5%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
5%
Levon Aronian
5%
Vincent Keymer
5%
Ding Liren
5%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
5%
Jeffery Xiong
5%
Haowen Xue
4%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
4%
Volen Dyulgerov
4%
Sam Sevian
4%
Sergey Sklokin
4%
David Anton
4%
Sina Movahed
4%
Aleksei Sarana
3%
Pranesh Munirethinam
3%
Faustino Oro
3%
Hans Niemann
3%
Jules Moussard
3%
Vladislav Artemiev
3%
Pranav Venkatesh
3%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
3%
Alexander Grischuk
3%
Aleksandr Shimanov
3%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
3%
Christopher Yoo
3%
Parham Maghsoodloo
2%
Andrey Esipenko
2%
Le Tuan Minh
2%
Renato Terry Lujan
2%
Benjamin Bok
2%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
2%
Dincer Tasdogen
2%
Fabiano Caruana
2%
Haik Martirosyan
2%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
2%
Jose Martinez
2%
Aravindh Chithambaram
2%
Alireza Firouzja
2%
Nikolas Theodorou
2%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
2%
Rudik Makarian
2%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
2%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
2%
Vladimir Fedoseev
2%
Aleksandar Indjic
2%
Dmitry Andreikin
2%
Dau Khuong Duy
2%
Matthias Bluebaum
2%
Nihal Sarin
2%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
2%
Rasmus Svane
2%
Wesley So
2%
Magnus Carlsen 18%
Brandon Jacobson 9%
Tuomas Turunen 8%
Arjun Erigaisi 8%
Magnus Carlsen
18%
Brandon Jacobson
9%
Tuomas Turunen
8%
Arjun Erigaisi
8%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
7%
Hikaru Nakamura
7%
Denis Lazavik
7%
Bardiya Daneshvar
5%
Frederik Svane
5%
Javokhir Sindarov
5%
Awonder Liang
5%
Andrew Tang
5%
Gukesh Dommaraju
5%
Wei Yi
5%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
5%
Levon Aronian
5%
Vincent Keymer
5%
Ding Liren
5%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
5%
Jeffery Xiong
5%
Haowen Xue
4%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
4%
Volen Dyulgerov
4%
Sam Sevian
4%
Sergey Sklokin
4%
David Anton
4%
Sina Movahed
4%
Aleksei Sarana
3%
Pranesh Munirethinam
3%
Faustino Oro
3%
Hans Niemann
3%
Jules Moussard
3%
Vladislav Artemiev
3%
Pranav Venkatesh
3%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
3%
Alexander Grischuk
3%
Aleksandr Shimanov
3%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
3%
Christopher Yoo
3%
Parham Maghsoodloo
2%
Andrey Esipenko
2%
Le Tuan Minh
2%
Renato Terry Lujan
2%
Benjamin Bok
2%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
2%
Dincer Tasdogen
2%
Fabiano Caruana
2%
Haik Martirosyan
2%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
2%
Jose Martinez
2%
Aravindh Chithambaram
2%
Alireza Firouzja
2%
Nikolas Theodorou
2%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
2%
Rudik Makarian
2%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
2%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
2%
Vladimir Fedoseev
2%
Aleksandar Indjic
2%
Dmitry Andreikin
2%
Dau Khuong Duy
2%
Matthias Bluebaum
2%
Nihal Sarin
2%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
2%
Rasmus Svane
2%
Wesley So
2%
If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Magnus Carlsen and Hikaru Nakamura lead the implied probabilities at 18% and 17.5% for the September 1 Titled Tuesday, reflecting their historical blitz dominance and consistent participation in Chess.com's weekly 11-round Swiss for titled players. Recent form shows the field remains extremely deep and competitive, with Jan-Krzysztof Duda claiming the August 25 victory over Arjun Erigaisi and a host of grandmasters like Alireza Firouzja, Denis Lazavik, Alexey Sarana, and Lê Tuấn Minh securing wins in prior weeks. Multiple players routinely post 9+ scores amid 400-500 entrants, and factors such as recent Esports World Cup fatigue, variable participation, and the single-day format contribute to the bunched pricing across dozens of contenders. This distribution captures trader consensus on the inherent variance in elite online blitz where stylistic matchups and momentum shifts frequently determine outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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