**Ongoing US sanctions and naval blockade have sharply curtailed Iranian oil exports and foreign trade, sustaining downward pressure on the rial and keeping the free-market USD/IRR rate near recent highs.** President Masoud Pezeshkian reported a 25-35% drop in imports and exports, while Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei called for reduced dollar reliance amid 66% inflation. The Treasury’s late-August “Operation Economic Outcast” targeted shadow fleets, shipping, and revenue networks, compounding the effects of the Hormuz blockade that cut loadings by over 80% from prior levels. With end-of-August resolution imminent and no immediate diplomatic relief, trader consensus clusters on the 2.0-2.1 million range as the most probable outcome under current conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2.0-2.1M 66.5%
2.1-2.2M 18.8%
1.9-2.0M 6.5%
2.2M+ 4.0%
$151,067 Vol.
$151,067 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<1.7M
<1%
1.7-1.8M
<1%
1.8-1.9M
2%
1.9-2.0M
7%
2.0-2.1M
67%
2.1-2.2M
19%
2.2M+
4%
2.0-2.1M 66.5%
2.1-2.2M 18.8%
1.9-2.0M 6.5%
2.2M+ 4.0%
$151,067 Vol.
$151,067 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<1.7M
$12,348 Vol.
<1%
1.7-1.8M
$8,271 Vol.
<1%
1.8-1.9M
$20,633 Vol.
2%
1.9-2.0M
$34,275 Vol.
7%
2.0-2.1M
$30,736 Vol.
67%
2.1-2.2M
$25,700 Vol.
19%
2.2M+
$19,195 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for August 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**Ongoing US sanctions and naval blockade have sharply curtailed Iranian oil exports and foreign trade, sustaining downward pressure on the rial and keeping the free-market USD/IRR rate near recent highs.**
President Masoud Pezeshkian reported a 25-35% drop in imports and exports, while Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei called for reduced dollar reliance amid 66% inflation. The Treasury’s late-August “Operation Economic Outcast” targeted shadow fleets, shipping, and revenue networks, compounding the effects of the Hormuz blockade that cut loadings by over 80% from prior levels. With end-of-August resolution imminent and no immediate diplomatic relief, trader consensus clusters on the 2.0-2.1 million range as the most probable outcome under current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for August 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Volume
$151,067End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 4:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for August 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**Ongoing US sanctions and naval blockade have sharply curtailed Iranian oil exports and foreign trade, sustaining downward pressure on the rial and keeping the free-market USD/IRR rate near recent highs.**
President Masoud Pezeshkian reported a 25-35% drop in imports and exports, while Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei called for reduced dollar reliance amid 66% inflation. The Treasury’s late-August “Operation Economic Outcast” targeted shadow fleets, shipping, and revenue networks, compounding the effects of the Hormuz blockade that cut loadings by over 80% from prior levels. With end-of-August resolution imminent and no immediate diplomatic relief, trader consensus clusters on the 2.0-2.1 million range as the most probable outcome under current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for August 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$151,067End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 4:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Ongoing US sanctions and naval blockade have sharply curtailed Iranian oil exports and foreign trade, sustaining downward pressure on the rial and keeping the free-market USD/IRR rate near recent highs.** President Masoud Pezeshkian reported a 25-35% drop in imports and exports, while Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei called for reduced dollar reliance amid 66% inflation. The Treasury’s late-August “Operation Economic Outcast” targeted shadow fleets, shipping, and revenue networks, compounding the effects of the Hormuz blockade that cut loadings by over 80% from prior levels. With end-of-August resolution imminent and no immediate diplomatic relief, trader consensus clusters on the 2.0-2.1 million range as the most probable outcome under current conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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