What will the White River at Indianapolis peak at during the August 2026 floods?

Over 20 ft 98.0%

17–20 ft <1%

Under 14 ft <1%

14–17 ft <1%

$14,630 Vol.

Aug 31, 2026

Under 14 ft

$1,478 Vol.

<1%

14–17 ft

$1,688 Vol.

<1%

17–20 ft

$2,592 Vol.

<1%

Over 20 ft

$8,872 Vol.

98%

Over 20 ft 98.0%

17–20 ft <1%

Under 14 ft <1%

14–17 ft <1%

$14,630 Vol.

Aug 31, 2026

Under 14 ft

$1,478 Vol.

<1%

14–17 ft

$1,688 Vol.

<1%

17–20 ft

$2,592 Vol.

<1%

Over 20 ft

$8,872 Vol.

98%

This market resolves "Yes" if the maximum gage height recorded at USGS streamgage 03353000 (White River at Indianapolis, IN) between market creation and 11:59 PM EDT August 31, 2026 is at or above 17.00 feet and below 20.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No". Resolution is based on the peak gage height value recorded during the specified window as published by USGS at https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/USGS-03353000#dataTypeId=continuous-00065-0&period=P7D&showFieldMeasurements=true. USGS real-time data is provisional and subject to revision; the last provisional value published by USGS for the specified window as of 11:59 PM EDT September 1, 2026 governs, regardless of any USGS revision, approval, or finalization published after that time. For reference, NWS designates flood stage at this location as 16.0 feet. The primary resolution source is USGS data for streamgage 03353000; however, a consensus of credible reporting citing USGS data may also be used.

Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 1, 2026?

32%

Will a 6.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?

100%

Will 100 to 119 tornadoes occur in the United States in August 2026?

49%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will the White River at Indianapolis peak at during the August 2026 floods?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Over 20 ft" at 98%, followed by "Under 14 ft" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will the White River at Indianapolis peak at during the August 2026 floods?" has generated $14.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will the White River at Indianapolis peak at during the August 2026 floods?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will the White River at Indianapolis peak at during the August 2026 floods?" is "Over 20 ft" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Under 14 ft" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will the White River at Indianapolis peak at during the August 2026 floods?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "What will the White River at Indianapolis peak at during the August 2026 floods?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $14.6K traded on “What will the White River at Indianapolis peak at during the August 2026 floods?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "What will the White River at Indianapolis peak at during the August 2026 floods?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 98¢ for "Over 20 ft" in the "What will the White River at Indianapolis peak at during the August 2026 floods?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 98% chance that "Over 20 ft" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 98¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 2¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "What will the White River at Indianapolis peak at during the August 2026 floods?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Aug 31, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "What will the White River at Indianapolis peak at during the August 2026 floods?" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "What will the White River at Indianapolis peak at during the August 2026 floods?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

What will the White River at Indianapolis peak at during the August 2026 floods?

What will the White River at Indianapolis peak at during the August 2026 floods?

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