**Ten states—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—have enacted new congressional maps for the 2026 midterms following an unprecedented wave of mid-decade redistricting.** The process began in summer 2025 when Texas Republicans, responding to calls from President Trump, approved revised lines expected to add several Republican-leaning seats; Democratic-led California countered with voter-approved changes favoring their party. The U.S. Supreme Court’s April 2026 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais narrowed Voting Rights Act requirements on race-conscious districting, enabling further Republican-led adjustments in states including Florida, Louisiana, Tennessee, and Alabama. Ohio’s redraw was required under state law, while Utah’s change stemmed from litigation. Most maps survived legal challenges and are now in use for upcoming primaries and the November general election, though a few states face residual suits that could theoretically alter boundaries before Election Day. These developments reflect partisan efforts to reshape the House map outside the standard post-census cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$398,318 Vol.
California
96%
Texas
98%
North Carolina
96%
Ohio
95%
Utah
91%
Florida
99%
Louisiana
93%
Missouri
87%
Virginia
5%
Alabama
93%
South Carolina
<1%
Georgia
6%
Kansas
1%
New Jersey
5%
Indiana
5%
Washington
3%
Nebraska
5%
Illinois
2%
Minnesota
5%
New York
4%
Maryland
4%
Wisconsin
2%
$398,318 Vol.
California
96%
Texas
98%
North Carolina
96%
Ohio
95%
Utah
91%
Florida
99%
Louisiana
93%
Missouri
87%
Virginia
5%
Alabama
93%
South Carolina
<1%
Georgia
6%
Kansas
1%
New Jersey
5%
Indiana
5%
Washington
3%
Nebraska
5%
Illinois
2%
Minnesota
5%
New York
4%
Maryland
4%
Wisconsin
2%
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Ten states—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—have enacted new congressional maps for the 2026 midterms following an unprecedented wave of mid-decade redistricting.** The process began in summer 2025 when Texas Republicans, responding to calls from President Trump, approved revised lines expected to add several Republican-leaning seats; Democratic-led California countered with voter-approved changes favoring their party. The U.S. Supreme Court’s April 2026 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais narrowed Voting Rights Act requirements on race-conscious districting, enabling further Republican-led adjustments in states including Florida, Louisiana, Tennessee, and Alabama. Ohio’s redraw was required under state law, while Utah’s change stemmed from litigation. Most maps survived legal challenges and are now in use for upcoming primaries and the November general election, though a few states face residual suits that could theoretically alter boundaries before Election Day. These developments reflect partisan efforts to reshape the House map outside the standard post-census cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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