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Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?
Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?

Alexandre Pantoja 50%

Joshua Van 49%

Manel Kape 2.1%

Tim Elliott <1%

Polymarket

$1,180,786 Vol.

Alexandre Pantoja 50%

Joshua Van 49%

Manel Kape 2.1%

Tim Elliott <1%

Polymarket

$1,180,786 Vol.

Alexandre Pantoja

$8,916 Vol.

50%

Joshua Van

$6,564 Vol.

49%

Manel Kape

$3,411 Vol.

2%

Tim Elliott

$305,842 Vol.

<1%

Amir Albazi

$789,781 Vol.

<1%

Asu Almabayev

$58,585 Vol.

<1%

Tatsuro Taira

$1,849 Vol.

<1%

Kyoji Horiguchi

$1,470 Vol.

<1%

Brandon Moreno

$1,426 Vol.

<1%

Brandon Royval

$1,189 Vol.

<1%

Steve Erceg

$1,752 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).The tight race between Alexandre Pantoja (49.5%) and Joshua Van (48.5%) stems from their September 19 rematch at UFC 331, where the winner is expected to control the flyweight title through year-end given limited remaining 2026 activity. Van captured the belt from Pantoja via first-round TKO (arm injury) at UFC 323 in December 2025 before defending successfully with a fifth-round stoppage of Tatsuro Taira at UFC 328 in May. Pantoja, now fully recovered, has voiced strong motivation to reclaim the championship he defended four times previously. Lower-ranked contenders like Manel Kape trail far behind due to the division’s focus on this high-stakes clash between the top two, with the outcome hinging on the rematch result and any immediate follow-up booking.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$1,180,786
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).The tight race between Alexandre Pantoja (49.5%) and Joshua Van (48.5%) stems from their September 19 rematch at UFC 331, where the winner is expected to control the flyweight title through year-end given limited remaining 2026 activity. Van captured the belt from Pantoja via first-round TKO (arm injury) at UFC 323 in December 2025 before defending successfully with a fifth-round stoppage of Tatsuro Taira at UFC 328 in May. Pantoja, now fully recovered, has voiced strong motivation to reclaim the championship he defended four times previously. Lower-ranked contenders like Manel Kape trail far behind due to the division’s focus on this high-stakes clash between the top two, with the outcome hinging on the rematch result and any immediate follow-up booking.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$1,180,786
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alexandre Pantoja" at 50%, followed by "Joshua Van" at 49%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?" has generated $1.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?" is "Alexandre Pantoja" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Joshua Van" at 49%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.