Sean Strickland's status as the reigning two-time middleweight champion, secured via a May 2026 split decision victory over Khamzat Chimaev at UFC 328, anchors his 58.7% implied probability as the consensus favorite to hold the belt through year-end. The 35-year-old's defensive striking and recent form, including a TKO of Anthony Hernandez earlier in 2026, underpin trader positioning despite limited remaining 2026 activity. Nassourdine Imavov (20.3%) and Chimaev (16.5%) follow as leading challengers based on Imavov's five-fight win streak and Chimaev's prior dominant run before the title loss, while Dricus du Plessis sits at just 2.0% amid his post-reign recovery and recent win over Kamaru Usman. Lower-probability names reflect established rankings but lack immediate title paths.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSean Strickland 58.7%
Nassourdine Imavov 20.3%
Khamzat Chimaev 17%
Dricus Du Plessis 2.0%
$914,578 Vol.
$914,578 Vol.
Sean Strickland
59%
Nassourdine Imavov
20%
Khamzat Chimaev
17%
Dricus Du Plessis
2%
Brendan Allen
<1%
Israel Adesanya
<1%
Jared Cannonier
<1%
Anthony Hernandez
<1%
Caio Borralho
<1%
Robert Whittaker
<1%
Joe Pyfer
<1%
Reinier de Ridder
<1%
Sean Strickland 58.7%
Nassourdine Imavov 20.3%
Khamzat Chimaev 17%
Dricus Du Plessis 2.0%
$914,578 Vol.
$914,578 Vol.
Sean Strickland
59%
Nassourdine Imavov
20%
Khamzat Chimaev
17%
Dricus Du Plessis
2%
Brendan Allen
<1%
Israel Adesanya
<1%
Jared Cannonier
<1%
Anthony Hernandez
<1%
Caio Borralho
<1%
Robert Whittaker
<1%
Joe Pyfer
<1%
Reinier de Ridder
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Market Opened: Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Sean Strickland's status as the reigning two-time middleweight champion, secured via a May 2026 split decision victory over Khamzat Chimaev at UFC 328, anchors his 58.7% implied probability as the consensus favorite to hold the belt through year-end. The 35-year-old's defensive striking and recent form, including a TKO of Anthony Hernandez earlier in 2026, underpin trader positioning despite limited remaining 2026 activity. Nassourdine Imavov (20.3%) and Chimaev (16.5%) follow as leading challengers based on Imavov's five-fight win streak and Chimaev's prior dominant run before the title loss, while Dricus du Plessis sits at just 2.0% amid his post-reign recovery and recent win over Kamaru Usman. Lower-probability names reflect established rankings but lack immediate title paths.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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