Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption campaign within the Chinese Communist Party and especially the People’s Liberation Army remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment on potential 2026 purges. Since mid-2023 the effort has removed or sidelined over 100 senior PLA officers, including multiple Central Military Commission members and theater-command leaders, with investigations into figures such as Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli announced in January 2026. In June 2026 the National People’s Congress Standing Committee formally stripped six generals—including Xu Xueqiang, Guo Puxiao, and Li Fengbiao—along with former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui and regulator Li Yunze of their legislative seats, confirming earlier absences and signaling the campaign’s reach into post-reform military networks. Analysts note the pattern targets procurement, logistics, and political-work departments ahead of the 2027 PLA centenary, with further disciplinary actions possible before year-end plenums or congress preparations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$203,081 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Dong Jun
12%
Zhang Shengmin
5%
Zhao Leji
5%
Wang Huning
5%
Cai Qi
4%
Ding Xuexiang
4%
Li Xi
2%
Wang Yi
2%
Li Qiang
2%
$203,081 Vol.
Dong Jun
$38,350 Vol.
12%
Zhang Shengmin
$28,904 Vol.
5%
Zhao Leji
$10,990 Vol.
5%
Wang Huning
$12,032 Vol.
5%
Cai Qi
$45,686 Vol.
4%
Ding Xuexiang
$16,142 Vol.
4%
Li Xi
$28,451 Vol.
2%
Wang Yi
$15,675 Vol.
2%
Li Qiang
$6,851 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption campaign within the Chinese Communist Party and especially the People’s Liberation Army remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment on potential 2026 purges. Since mid-2023 the effort has removed or sidelined over 100 senior PLA officers, including multiple Central Military Commission members and theater-command leaders, with investigations into figures such as Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli announced in January 2026. In June 2026 the National People’s Congress Standing Committee formally stripped six generals—including Xu Xueqiang, Guo Puxiao, and Li Fengbiao—along with former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui and regulator Li Yunze of their legislative seats, confirming earlier absences and signaling the campaign’s reach into post-reform military networks. Analysts note the pattern targets procurement, logistics, and political-work departments ahead of the 2027 PLA centenary, with further disciplinary actions possible before year-end plenums or congress preparations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volume
$203,081End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption campaign within the Chinese Communist Party and especially the People’s Liberation Army remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment on potential 2026 purges. Since mid-2023 the effort has removed or sidelined over 100 senior PLA officers, including multiple Central Military Commission members and theater-command leaders, with investigations into figures such as Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli announced in January 2026. In June 2026 the National People’s Congress Standing Committee formally stripped six generals—including Xu Xueqiang, Guo Puxiao, and Li Fengbiao—along with former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui and regulator Li Yunze of their legislative seats, confirming earlier absences and signaling the campaign’s reach into post-reform military networks. Analysts note the pattern targets procurement, logistics, and political-work departments ahead of the 2027 PLA centenary, with further disciplinary actions possible before year-end plenums or congress preparations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$203,081End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption campaign within the Chinese Communist Party and especially the People’s Liberation Army remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment on potential 2026 purges. Since mid-2023 the effort has removed or sidelined over 100 senior PLA officers, including multiple Central Military Commission members and theater-command leaders, with investigations into figures such as Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli announced in January 2026. In June 2026 the National People’s Congress Standing Committee formally stripped six generals—including Xu Xueqiang, Guo Puxiao, and Li Fengbiao—along with former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui and regulator Li Yunze of their legislative seats, confirming earlier absences and signaling the campaign’s reach into post-reform military networks. Analysts note the pattern targets procurement, logistics, and political-work departments ahead of the 2027 PLA centenary, with further disciplinary actions possible before year-end plenums or congress preparations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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