Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign has driven extensive leadership turnover in the People’s Liberation Army and select civilian posts, with the most recent formal actions occurring in June 2026 when the National People’s Congress Standing Committee removed six senior generals—including Xu Xueqiang, Li Fengbiao, and Guo Puxiao—along with former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui. These steps follow the January 2026 investigations of Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff chief Liu Zhenli, building on 2025 plenum expulsions that reduced the CMC to Xi and discipline chief Zhang Shengmin. Analysts link the scale of removals—impacting roughly half of senior theater and CMC-grade positions—to efforts to eliminate patronage networks, procurement irregularities, and loyalty concerns ahead of the PLA’s 2027 modernization targets. Traders monitor subsequent NPC sessions, Central Committee meetings, and any new disciplinary announcements for signals on further targets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$203,081 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Dong Jun
12%
Zhang Shengmin
5%
Zhao Leji
5%
Wang Huning
5%
Cai Qi
4%
Ding Xuexiang
4%
Li Xi
2%
Wang Yi
2%
Li Qiang
2%
$203,081 Vol.
Dong Jun
$38,350 Vol.
12%
Zhang Shengmin
$28,904 Vol.
5%
Zhao Leji
$10,990 Vol.
5%
Wang Huning
$12,032 Vol.
5%
Cai Qi
$45,686 Vol.
4%
Ding Xuexiang
$16,142 Vol.
4%
Li Xi
$28,451 Vol.
2%
Wang Yi
$15,675 Vol.
2%
Li Qiang
$6,851 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign has driven extensive leadership turnover in the People’s Liberation Army and select civilian posts, with the most recent formal actions occurring in June 2026 when the National People’s Congress Standing Committee removed six senior generals—including Xu Xueqiang, Li Fengbiao, and Guo Puxiao—along with former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui. These steps follow the January 2026 investigations of Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff chief Liu Zhenli, building on 2025 plenum expulsions that reduced the CMC to Xi and discipline chief Zhang Shengmin. Analysts link the scale of removals—impacting roughly half of senior theater and CMC-grade positions—to efforts to eliminate patronage networks, procurement irregularities, and loyalty concerns ahead of the PLA’s 2027 modernization targets. Traders monitor subsequent NPC sessions, Central Committee meetings, and any new disciplinary announcements for signals on further targets.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volume
$203,081End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign has driven extensive leadership turnover in the People’s Liberation Army and select civilian posts, with the most recent formal actions occurring in June 2026 when the National People’s Congress Standing Committee removed six senior generals—including Xu Xueqiang, Li Fengbiao, and Guo Puxiao—along with former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui. These steps follow the January 2026 investigations of Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff chief Liu Zhenli, building on 2025 plenum expulsions that reduced the CMC to Xi and discipline chief Zhang Shengmin. Analysts link the scale of removals—impacting roughly half of senior theater and CMC-grade positions—to efforts to eliminate patronage networks, procurement irregularities, and loyalty concerns ahead of the PLA’s 2027 modernization targets. Traders monitor subsequent NPC sessions, Central Committee meetings, and any new disciplinary announcements for signals on further targets.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$203,081End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign has driven extensive leadership turnover in the People’s Liberation Army and select civilian posts, with the most recent formal actions occurring in June 2026 when the National People’s Congress Standing Committee removed six senior generals—including Xu Xueqiang, Li Fengbiao, and Guo Puxiao—along with former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui. These steps follow the January 2026 investigations of Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff chief Liu Zhenli, building on 2025 plenum expulsions that reduced the CMC to Xi and discipline chief Zhang Shengmin. Analysts link the scale of removals—impacting roughly half of senior theater and CMC-grade positions—to efforts to eliminate patronage networks, procurement irregularities, and loyalty concerns ahead of the PLA’s 2027 modernization targets. Traders monitor subsequent NPC sessions, Central Committee meetings, and any new disciplinary announcements for signals on further targets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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