Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption and loyalty campaign within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army continues to drive high-level removals, with the August 2026 expulsion of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department Chief Liu Zhenli from the state CMC marking the latest escalation after their January investigations. These moves follow earlier 2026 actions against Politburo member Ma Xingrui and multiple waves that have removed or sidelined over 100 senior PLA officers since 2022, including prior CMC members and theater commanders, amid probes for discipline violations and graft. The resulting leadership vacuum in the CMC, now reduced to minimal active uniformed members alongside Xi, and the approach of the October 2026 plenum and 2027 Party Congress heighten scrutiny of remaining officials for further disciplinary actions that could shape 2026 outcomes. Trader consensus reflects these verifiable institutional signals rather than unconfirmed speculation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$204,359 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Dong Jun
9%
Zhao Leji
6%
Zhang Shengmin
5%
Cai Qi
5%
Ding Xuexiang
4%
Wang Huning
4%
Wang Yi
2%
Li Qiang
2%
Li Xi
2%
$204,359 Vol.
Dong Jun
$39,182 Vol.
9%
Zhao Leji
$11,133 Vol.
6%
Zhang Shengmin
$29,104 Vol.
5%
Cai Qi
$45,686 Vol.
5%
Ding Xuexiang
$16,167 Vol.
4%
Wang Huning
$12,077 Vol.
4%
Wang Yi
$15,675 Vol.
2%
Li Qiang
$6,851 Vol.
2%
Li Xi
$28,485 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption and loyalty campaign within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army continues to drive high-level removals, with the August 2026 expulsion of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department Chief Liu Zhenli from the state CMC marking the latest escalation after their January investigations. These moves follow earlier 2026 actions against Politburo member Ma Xingrui and multiple waves that have removed or sidelined over 100 senior PLA officers since 2022, including prior CMC members and theater commanders, amid probes for discipline violations and graft. The resulting leadership vacuum in the CMC, now reduced to minimal active uniformed members alongside Xi, and the approach of the October 2026 plenum and 2027 Party Congress heighten scrutiny of remaining officials for further disciplinary actions that could shape 2026 outcomes. Trader consensus reflects these verifiable institutional signals rather than unconfirmed speculation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volume
$204,359End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption and loyalty campaign within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army continues to drive high-level removals, with the August 2026 expulsion of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department Chief Liu Zhenli from the state CMC marking the latest escalation after their January investigations. These moves follow earlier 2026 actions against Politburo member Ma Xingrui and multiple waves that have removed or sidelined over 100 senior PLA officers since 2022, including prior CMC members and theater commanders, amid probes for discipline violations and graft. The resulting leadership vacuum in the CMC, now reduced to minimal active uniformed members alongside Xi, and the approach of the October 2026 plenum and 2027 Party Congress heighten scrutiny of remaining officials for further disciplinary actions that could shape 2026 outcomes. Trader consensus reflects these verifiable institutional signals rather than unconfirmed speculation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$204,359End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption and loyalty campaign within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army continues to drive high-level removals, with the August 2026 expulsion of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department Chief Liu Zhenli from the state CMC marking the latest escalation after their January investigations. These moves follow earlier 2026 actions against Politburo member Ma Xingrui and multiple waves that have removed or sidelined over 100 senior PLA officers since 2022, including prior CMC members and theater commanders, amid probes for discipline violations and graft. The resulting leadership vacuum in the CMC, now reduced to minimal active uniformed members alongside Xi, and the approach of the October 2026 plenum and 2027 Party Congress heighten scrutiny of remaining officials for further disciplinary actions that could shape 2026 outcomes. Trader consensus reflects these verifiable institutional signals rather than unconfirmed speculation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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