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Sports·Tiger Woods

Will Tiger Woods play in a PGA Tournament in 2026?

icon for Will Tiger Woods play in a PGA Tournament in 2026?
Sports·Tiger Woods

Will Tiger Woods play in a PGA Tournament in 2026?

4% chance
Polymarket
NEW
4% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods participates as a player in any official PGA Tour-sanctioned tournament or major championship during the 2026 PGA Tour season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any appearance as a player during any main tournament round will qualify. No practice rounds, Par 3 tournaments or other play of any kind will be considered. If Tiger Woods retires, has not participated, or it cannot be determined he has participated in a PGA Tour sanctioned tournament between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the PGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tiger Woods has not competed in a PGA Tour event since missing the cut at the 2024 Open Championship, with his 2025 and 2026 seasons derailed by a seventh back surgery, Achilles rupture, and the March 2026 rollover crash that led to a DUI arrest and extended rehab in Switzerland. At age 50, the 15-time major winner has focused on personal health recovery and stepped back from committee roles while facing an upcoming court appearance, with no entries submitted for remaining 2026 signature events or majors despite past champion exemptions. Trader consensus at 96.5% probability for no PGA Tour start reflects this extended absence and lack of confirmed return timeline. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include a late-season medical clearance allowing a surprise start at a fall tournament or special exemption, though his recent form and off-course priorities make such developments unlikely before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods participates as a player in any official PGA Tour-sanctioned tournament or major championship during the 2026 PGA Tour season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any appearance as a player during any main tournament round will qualify. No practice rounds, Par 3 tournaments or other play of any kind will be considered.

If Tiger Woods retires, has not participated, or it cannot be determined he has participated in a PGA Tour sanctioned tournament between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the PGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$486
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 1:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods participates as a player in any official PGA Tour-sanctioned tournament or major championship during the 2026 PGA Tour season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any appearance as a player during any main tournament round will qualify. No practice rounds, Par 3 tournaments or other play of any kind will be considered. If Tiger Woods retires, has not participated, or it cannot be determined he has participated in a PGA Tour sanctioned tournament between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the PGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods participates as a player in any official PGA Tour-sanctioned tournament or major championship during the 2026 PGA Tour season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any appearance as a player during any main tournament round will qualify. No practice rounds, Par 3 tournaments or other play of any kind will be considered. If Tiger Woods retires, has not participated, or it cannot be determined he has participated in a PGA Tour sanctioned tournament between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the PGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tiger Woods has not competed in a PGA Tour event since missing the cut at the 2024 Open Championship, with his 2025 and 2026 seasons derailed by a seventh back surgery, Achilles rupture, and the March 2026 rollover crash that led to a DUI arrest and extended rehab in Switzerland. At age 50, the 15-time major winner has focused on personal health recovery and stepped back from committee roles while facing an upcoming court appearance, with no entries submitted for remaining 2026 signature events or majors despite past champion exemptions. Trader consensus at 96.5% probability for no PGA Tour start reflects this extended absence and lack of confirmed return timeline. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include a late-season medical clearance allowing a surprise start at a fall tournament or special exemption, though his recent form and off-course priorities make such developments unlikely before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods participates as a player in any official PGA Tour-sanctioned tournament or major championship during the 2026 PGA Tour season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any appearance as a player during any main tournament round will qualify. No practice rounds, Par 3 tournaments or other play of any kind will be considered.

If Tiger Woods retires, has not participated, or it cannot be determined he has participated in a PGA Tour sanctioned tournament between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the PGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$486
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 1:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods participates as a player in any official PGA Tour-sanctioned tournament or major championship during the 2026 PGA Tour season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any appearance as a player during any main tournament round will qualify. No practice rounds, Par 3 tournaments or other play of any kind will be considered. If Tiger Woods retires, has not participated, or it cannot be determined he has participated in a PGA Tour sanctioned tournament between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the PGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Tiger Woods play in a PGA Tournament in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 4% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 4¢, the market collectively assigns a 4% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Tiger Woods play in a PGA Tournament in 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Tiger Woods play in a PGA Tournament in 2026?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Tiger Woods play in a PGA Tournament in 2026?" is 4% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 4% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Tiger Woods play in a PGA Tournament in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.