Earrings by Malcolm Todd holds overwhelming trader consensus at 98.6% implied probability for the #2 Spotify song in the US this week, driven by its commanding streaming trajectory and sustained listener engagement ahead of the August 28 chart lock. Recent platform data shows consistent daily plays outpacing competitors, reflecting effective release strategy and audience momentum typical for rising tracks in this position. Other listed songs sit near 50% or lower, indicating fragmented expectations amid normal weekly fluctuations in viral spikes or playlist rotations. An upset would require an unforeseen late-week surge from a challenger—such as a sudden TikTok-driven spike or major promotional push—though historical patterns suggest such reversals remain rare once a leader establishes this level of dominance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated#2 Spotify song in the US this week? (August 28)
Earrings - Malcolm Todd 98.8%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 1.1%
Oh Yeah? - Steve Lacy <1%
Loser - Tame Impala <1%
Earrings - Malcolm Todd
99%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
1%
Oh Yeah? - Steve Lacy
<1%
Loser - Tame Impala
<1%
Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo
<1%
the cure - Olivia Rodrigo
<1%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
<1%
Earrings - Malcolm Todd 98.8%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 1.1%
Oh Yeah? - Steve Lacy <1%
Loser - Tame Impala <1%
Earrings - Malcolm Todd
99%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
1%
Oh Yeah? - Steve Lacy
<1%
Loser - Tame Impala
<1%
Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo
<1%
the cure - Olivia Rodrigo
<1%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled August 28. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If Spotify does not release its #2 song for the week labeled August 28 by August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The Weekly Top Songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading.
This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled August 28. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If Spotify does not release its #2 song for the week labeled August 28 by August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The Weekly Top Songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading.
This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Earrings by Malcolm Todd holds overwhelming trader consensus at 98.6% implied probability for the #2 Spotify song in the US this week, driven by its commanding streaming trajectory and sustained listener engagement ahead of the August 28 chart lock. Recent platform data shows consistent daily plays outpacing competitors, reflecting effective release strategy and audience momentum typical for rising tracks in this position. Other listed songs sit near 50% or lower, indicating fragmented expectations amid normal weekly fluctuations in viral spikes or playlist rotations. An upset would require an unforeseen late-week surge from a challenger—such as a sudden TikTok-driven spike or major promotional push—though historical patterns suggest such reversals remain rare once a leader establishes this level of dominance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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