Kimi Antonelli leads the 2026 Formula 1 Drivers’ Championship with 242 points after 12 rounds, a 59-point margin over Mercedes teammate George Russell and Ferrari’s Lewis Hamilton. The 19-year-old has secured six victories and ten podiums, including an early-season streak of five consecutive wins that established Mercedes’ advantage under the new regulations. Recent form shows Norris claiming back-to-back wins at Hungary and the Dutch Grand Prix, narrowing the gap slightly while Antonelli recovered for second at Zandvoort despite qualifying setbacks he described as a wake-up call. Traders price Antonelli at 75% implied probability, reflecting his substantial points cushion, Mercedes’ constructors’ dominance, and the limited remaining races for challengers to close the deficit.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKimi Antonelli 75.0%
Lando Norris 9.2%
Lewis Hamilton 6.8%
George Russell 5.8%
$201,663,659 Vol.
$201,663,659 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
75%
Lando Norris
9%
Lewis Hamilton
7%
George Russell
6%
Charles Leclerc
2%
Max Verstappen
1%
Oscar Piastri
1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Kimi Antonelli 75.0%
Lando Norris 9.2%
Lewis Hamilton 6.8%
George Russell 5.8%
$201,663,659 Vol.
$201,663,659 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
75%
Lando Norris
9%
Lewis Hamilton
7%
George Russell
6%
Charles Leclerc
2%
Max Verstappen
1%
Oscar Piastri
1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kimi Antonelli leads the 2026 Formula 1 Drivers’ Championship with 242 points after 12 rounds, a 59-point margin over Mercedes teammate George Russell and Ferrari’s Lewis Hamilton. The 19-year-old has secured six victories and ten podiums, including an early-season streak of five consecutive wins that established Mercedes’ advantage under the new regulations. Recent form shows Norris claiming back-to-back wins at Hungary and the Dutch Grand Prix, narrowing the gap slightly while Antonelli recovered for second at Zandvoort despite qualifying setbacks he described as a wake-up call. Traders price Antonelli at 75% implied probability, reflecting his substantial points cushion, Mercedes’ constructors’ dominance, and the limited remaining races for challengers to close the deficit.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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