Min Woo Lee’s career-low, bogey-free 62 at East Lake Golf Club—fueled by elite approach play and 132 feet of putts—has driven trader consensus toward near-certainty he will claim first-round leader honors in the 2026 TOUR Championship. A last-minute iron shaft change sharpened his ball-striking after recent form struggles, allowing him to post eight birdies on a receptive layout where low scoring was expected. The two-shot cushion over a cluster of players at 64-65 reinforces the market’s heavy weighting. Only an unprecedented scoring correction, late disqualification, or administrative adjustment would realistically alter the outcome at this stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCollin Morikawa 87.9%
Sam Burns 87.9%
Matt Fitzpatrick 87.9%
Si Woo Kim 87.9%
$1,265 Vol.
$1,265 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
Alex Fitzpatrick
No
Ryan Fox
No
Chris Gotterup
No
Russell Henley
No
Viktor Hovland
No
Kurt Kitayama
No
Min Woo Lee
Yes
Hideki Matsuyama
No
Rory McIlroy
No
Collin Morikawa
No
Kristoffer Reitan
No
Justin Rose
No
Alex Smalley
No
J.J. Spaun
No
Ludvig Aberg
No
Akshay Bhatia
No
Jacob Bridgeman
No
Sam Burns
No
Bud Cauley
No
Wyndham Clark
No
Matt Fitzpatrick
No
Tommy Fleetwood
No
Si Woo Kim
No
Tom Kim
No
Xander Schauffele
No
Scottie Scheffler
No
Adam Scott
No
Cameron Young
No
Rickie Fowler
No
Ryan Gerard
No
Collin Morikawa 87.9%
Sam Burns 87.9%
Matt Fitzpatrick 87.9%
Si Woo Kim 87.9%
$1,265 Vol.
$1,265 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
Alex Fitzpatrick
$0 Vol.
No
Ryan Fox
$0 Vol.
No
Chris Gotterup
$0 Vol.
No
Russell Henley
$5 Vol.
No
Viktor Hovland
$5 Vol.
No
Kurt Kitayama
$330 Vol.
No
Min Woo Lee
$0 Vol.
Yes
Hideki Matsuyama
$5 Vol.
No
Rory McIlroy
$5 Vol.
No
Collin Morikawa
$0 Vol.
No
Kristoffer Reitan
$0 Vol.
No
Justin Rose
$5 Vol.
No
Alex Smalley
$0 Vol.
No
J.J. Spaun
$5 Vol.
No
Ludvig Aberg
$0 Vol.
No
Akshay Bhatia
$5 Vol.
No
Jacob Bridgeman
$0 Vol.
No
Sam Burns
$0 Vol.
No
Bud Cauley
$380 Vol.
No
Wyndham Clark
$0 Vol.
No
Matt Fitzpatrick
$0 Vol.
No
Tommy Fleetwood
$0 Vol.
No
Si Woo Kim
$0 Vol.
No
Tom Kim
$5 Vol.
No
Xander Schauffele
$0 Vol.
No
Scottie Scheffler
$0 Vol.
No
Adam Scott
$5 Vol.
No
Cameron Young
$0 Vol.
No
Rickie Fowler
$505 Vol.
No
Ryan Gerard
$5 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 TOUR Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 TOUR Championship is cancelled, postponed after September 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.Min Woo Lee’s career-low, bogey-free 62 at East Lake Golf Club—fueled by elite approach play and 132 feet of putts—has driven trader consensus toward near-certainty he will claim first-round leader honors in the 2026 TOUR Championship. A last-minute iron shaft change sharpened his ball-striking after recent form struggles, allowing him to post eight birdies on a receptive layout where low scoring was expected. The two-shot cushion over a cluster of players at 64-65 reinforces the market’s heavy weighting. Only an unprecedented scoring correction, late disqualification, or administrative adjustment would realistically alter the outcome at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 TOUR Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 TOUR Championship is cancelled, postponed after September 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 TOUR Championship is cancelled, postponed after September 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Volume
$1,265End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 TOUR Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 TOUR Championship is cancelled, postponed after September 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.Min Woo Lee’s career-low, bogey-free 62 at East Lake Golf Club—fueled by elite approach play and 132 feet of putts—has driven trader consensus toward near-certainty he will claim first-round leader honors in the 2026 TOUR Championship. A last-minute iron shaft change sharpened his ball-striking after recent form struggles, allowing him to post eight birdies on a receptive layout where low scoring was expected. The two-shot cushion over a cluster of players at 64-65 reinforces the market’s heavy weighting. Only an unprecedented scoring correction, late disqualification, or administrative adjustment would realistically alter the outcome at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 TOUR Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 TOUR Championship is cancelled, postponed after September 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 TOUR Championship is cancelled, postponed after September 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Volume
$1,265End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Min Woo Lee’s career-low, bogey-free 62 at East Lake Golf Club—fueled by elite approach play and 132 feet of putts—has driven trader consensus toward near-certainty he will claim first-round leader honors in the 2026 TOUR Championship. A last-minute iron shaft change sharpened his ball-striking after recent form struggles, allowing him to post eight birdies on a receptive layout where low scoring was expected. The two-shot cushion over a cluster of players at 64-65 reinforces the market’s heavy weighting. Only an unprecedented scoring correction, late disqualification, or administrative adjustment would realistically alter the outcome at this stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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