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Sports·PGA

PGA Tour: TOUR Championship Winner

icon for PGA Tour: TOUR Championship Winner
Sports·PGA

PGA Tour: TOUR Championship Winner

Winner

Top 5

Top 10

Top 20

Winner

Top 5

Top 10

Top 20

Scottie Scheffler 21%

Rory McIlroy 9%

Xander Schauffele 6%

Sam Burns 5.8%

Polymarket

$59,545 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler 21%

Rory McIlroy 9%

Xander Schauffele 6%

Sam Burns 5.8%

Polymarket

$59,545 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler

$4,392 Vol.

21%

Rory McIlroy

$3,827 Vol.

9%

Xander Schauffele

$5 Vol.

6%

Sam Burns

$9,309 Vol.

6%

Wyndham Clark

$16 Vol.

5%

Collin Morikawa

$10,132 Vol.

5%

Tommy Fleetwood

$523 Vol.

4%

Chris Gotterup

$5,484 Vol.

4%

Cameron Young

$500 Vol.

4%

Ludvig Aberg

$500 Vol.

4%

Viktor Hovland

$1,242 Vol.

4%

Russell Henley

$12,946 Vol.

3%

Si Woo Kim

$0 Vol.

3%

Hideki Matsuyama

$0 Vol.

3%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$0 Vol.

3%

Jacob Bridgeman

$0 Vol.

3%

Alex Smalley

$0 Vol.

3%

Kristoffer Reitan

$3,152 Vol.

3%

Akshay Bhatia

$93 Vol.

2%

Alex Fitzpatrick

$510 Vol.

2%

Ryan Fox

$10 Vol.

2%

Ryan Gerard

$0 Vol.

2%

Tom Kim

$5,759 Vol.

2%

Justin Rose

$500 Vol.

2%

Adam Scott

$0 Vol.

2%

J.J. Spaun

$213 Vol.

2%

Min Woo Lee

$401 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by September 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).Scottie Scheffler enters the 2026 TOUR Championship at East Lake as the clear market leader at 22.5% implied probability, driven by his FedEx St. Jude Championship victory to open the playoffs, season-long dominance in strokes gained, and strong historical results at the venue including a 2024 win and multiple top-five finishes. Traders price in his recovery from hand-foot-and-mouth disease that limited him to a T12 at the BMW Championship while still ranking him well ahead of the field. Rory McIlroy sits at 10% after a third-place BMW result that sharpened his form, while Wyndham Clark’s recent BMW win, Xander Schauffele’s steady play, and strong FedEx Cup positioning for players like Sam Burns and Collin Morikawa create a competitive chase among the top 30 qualifiers. The stroke-play format without starting strokes rewards recent ball-striking and putting consistency across the 30-man field.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by September 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Volume
$59,545
End Date
Aug 30, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.pgatour.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by September 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by September 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).Scottie Scheffler enters the 2026 TOUR Championship at East Lake as the clear market leader at 22.5% implied probability, driven by his FedEx St. Jude Championship victory to open the playoffs, season-long dominance in strokes gained, and strong historical results at the venue including a 2024 win and multiple top-five finishes. Traders price in his recovery from hand-foot-and-mouth disease that limited him to a T12 at the BMW Championship while still ranking him well ahead of the field. Rory McIlroy sits at 10% after a third-place BMW result that sharpened his form, while Wyndham Clark’s recent BMW win, Xander Schauffele’s steady play, and strong FedEx Cup positioning for players like Sam Burns and Collin Morikawa create a competitive chase among the top 30 qualifiers. The stroke-play format without starting strokes rewards recent ball-striking and putting consistency across the 30-man field.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by September 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Volume
$59,545
End Date
Aug 30, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.pgatour.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by September 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"PGA Tour: TOUR Championship Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scottie Scheffler" at 21%, followed by "Rory McIlroy" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 21¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "PGA Tour: TOUR Championship Winner" has generated $59.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "PGA Tour: TOUR Championship Winner," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "PGA Tour: TOUR Championship Winner" is "Scottie Scheffler" at 21%, meaning the market assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Rory McIlroy" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "PGA Tour: TOUR Championship Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.