Several NBA franchises enter the 2026-27 season with projected records clustered in the lottery range, creating tight implied probabilities for the 2027 first overall pick. Brooklyn, Chicago, Dallas, Memphis and others sit in similar positions amid roster rebuilds, new lottery rules that flatten odds across 16 teams, and uncertainty over injuries, trades or performance swings. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing shows no single team pulling away, as head-to-head matchups, rest factors and conference standings remain too fluid this early to separate contenders for the worst records.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHouston Rockets 97%
Los Angeles Clippers 97%
Memphis Grizzlies 97%
Milwaukee Bucks 97%
NEW
NEW
May 18, 2027
Houston Rockets
97%
Los Angeles Clippers
97%
Memphis Grizzlies
97%
Milwaukee Bucks
97%
Chicago Bulls
97%
Dallas Mavericks
97%
Charlotte Hornets
52%
Cleveland Cavaliers
52%
Denver Nuggets
52%
New Orleans Pelicans
52%
Boston Celtics
52%
Toronto Raptors
52%
Golden State Warriors
50%
Indiana Pacers
50%
Portland Trail Blazers
50%
Sacramento Kings
50%
Utah Jazz
50%
Atlanta Hawks
50%
Brooklyn Nets
50%
Los Angeles Lakers
50%
Minnesota Timberwolves
50%
New York Knicks
50%
Washington Wizards
50%
Oklahoma City Thunder
48%
Detroit Pistons
48%
Miami Heat
48%
San Antonio Spurs
46%
Phoenix Suns
45%
Philadelphia 76ers
26%
Orlando Magic
26%
Houston Rockets 97%
Los Angeles Clippers 97%
Memphis Grizzlies 97%
Milwaukee Bucks 97%
NEW
NEW
May 18, 2027
Houston Rockets
$0 Vol.
97%
Los Angeles Clippers
$0 Vol.
97%
Memphis Grizzlies
$0 Vol.
97%
Milwaukee Bucks
$0 Vol.
97%
Chicago Bulls
$0 Vol.
97%
Dallas Mavericks
$0 Vol.
97%
Charlotte Hornets
$0 Vol.
52%
Cleveland Cavaliers
$0 Vol.
52%
Denver Nuggets
$0 Vol.
52%
New Orleans Pelicans
$0 Vol.
52%
Boston Celtics
$0 Vol.
52%
Toronto Raptors
$0 Vol.
52%
Golden State Warriors
$0 Vol.
50%
Indiana Pacers
$0 Vol.
50%
Portland Trail Blazers
$0 Vol.
50%
Sacramento Kings
$0 Vol.
50%
Utah Jazz
$0 Vol.
50%
Atlanta Hawks
$0 Vol.
50%
Brooklyn Nets
$0 Vol.
50%
Los Angeles Lakers
$0 Vol.
50%
Minnesota Timberwolves
$0 Vol.
50%
New York Knicks
$0 Vol.
50%
Washington Wizards
$0 Vol.
50%
Oklahoma City Thunder
$0 Vol.
48%
Detroit Pistons
$0 Vol.
48%
Miami Heat
$0 Vol.
48%
San Antonio Spurs
$0 Vol.
46%
Phoenix Suns
$0 Vol.
45%
Philadelphia 76ers
$0 Vol.
26%
Orlando Magic
$0 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery.
If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner.
If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied.
If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several NBA franchises enter the 2026-27 season with projected records clustered in the lottery range, creating tight implied probabilities for the 2027 first overall pick. Brooklyn, Chicago, Dallas, Memphis and others sit in similar positions amid roster rebuilds, new lottery rules that flatten odds across 16 teams, and uncertainty over injuries, trades or performance swings. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing shows no single team pulling away, as head-to-head matchups, rest factors and conference standings remain too fluid this early to separate contenders for the worst records.
This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery.
If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner.
If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied.
If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner.
If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied.
If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
May 18, 2027Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery.
If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner.
If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied.
If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several NBA franchises enter the 2026-27 season with projected records clustered in the lottery range, creating tight implied probabilities for the 2027 first overall pick. Brooklyn, Chicago, Dallas, Memphis and others sit in similar positions amid roster rebuilds, new lottery rules that flatten odds across 16 teams, and uncertainty over injuries, trades or performance swings. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing shows no single team pulling away, as head-to-head matchups, rest factors and conference standings remain too fluid this early to separate contenders for the worst records.
This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery.
If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner.
If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied.
If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner.
If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied.
If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0End Date
May 18, 2027Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Several NBA franchises enter the 2026-27 season with projected records clustered in the lottery range, creating tight implied probabilities for the 2027 first overall pick. Brooklyn, Chicago, Dallas, Memphis and others sit in similar positions amid roster rebuilds, new lottery rules that flatten odds across 16 teams, and uncertainty over injuries, trades or performance swings. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing shows no single team pulling away, as head-to-head matchups, rest factors and conference standings remain too fluid this early to separate contenders for the worst records.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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