Ahmed al-Sharaa has consolidated authority as Syria’s transitional president since early 2025, advancing national integration and diplomacy that underpin trader expectations he will remain in office through year-end. In late August 2026 the United States formally removed Syria from its state sponsors of terrorism list, delivering major sanctions relief and reconstruction support explicitly tied to al-Sharaa’s commitments; U.S. officials highlighted this as a reward for stabilization steps. Concurrently, Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces completed integration into national structures, parliament convened following his July appointments, and Damascus pursued a security framework with Israel while hosting senior international visitors. These verified developments, occurring within the prior month, have reinforced his position with minimal reported domestic challenges, aligning with the 94 percent “No” consensus on removal by December 31, 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAhmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
6% chance
$70,404 Vol.
$70,404 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
6% chance
$70,404 Vol.
$70,404 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ahmed al-Sharaa has consolidated authority as Syria’s transitional president since early 2025, advancing national integration and diplomacy that underpin trader expectations he will remain in office through year-end. In late August 2026 the United States formally removed Syria from its state sponsors of terrorism list, delivering major sanctions relief and reconstruction support explicitly tied to al-Sharaa’s commitments; U.S. officials highlighted this as a reward for stabilization steps. Concurrently, Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces completed integration into national structures, parliament convened following his July appointments, and Damascus pursued a security framework with Israel while hosting senior international visitors. These verified developments, occurring within the prior month, have reinforced his position with minimal reported domestic challenges, aligning with the 94 percent “No” consensus on removal by December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ET
Volume
$70,404End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ahmed al-Sharaa has consolidated authority as Syria’s transitional president since early 2025, advancing national integration and diplomacy that underpin trader expectations he will remain in office through year-end. In late August 2026 the United States formally removed Syria from its state sponsors of terrorism list, delivering major sanctions relief and reconstruction support explicitly tied to al-Sharaa’s commitments; U.S. officials highlighted this as a reward for stabilization steps. Concurrently, Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces completed integration into national structures, parliament convened following his July appointments, and Damascus pursued a security framework with Israel while hosting senior international visitors. These verified developments, occurring within the prior month, have reinforced his position with minimal reported domestic challenges, aligning with the 94 percent “No” consensus on removal by December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$70,404End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ahmed al-Sharaa has consolidated authority as Syria’s transitional president since early 2025, advancing national integration and diplomacy that underpin trader expectations he will remain in office through year-end. In late August 2026 the United States formally removed Syria from its state sponsors of terrorism list, delivering major sanctions relief and reconstruction support explicitly tied to al-Sharaa’s commitments; U.S. officials highlighted this as a reward for stabilization steps. Concurrently, Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces completed integration into national structures, parliament convened following his July appointments, and Damascus pursued a security framework with Israel while hosting senior international visitors. These verified developments, occurring within the prior month, have reinforced his position with minimal reported domestic challenges, aligning with the 94 percent “No” consensus on removal by December 31, 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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