**President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan faces no scheduled election or constitutional deadline before the end of 2026, with the next presidential vote set for May 2028.** His current term, secured in 2023, runs through that date under Turkey’s presidential system, and the ruling AKP-MHP alliance has signaled no intent to force an earlier contest. Discussions center instead on mechanisms—such as a parliamentary vote for early elections under Article 116 or constitutional adjustments—that could allow him a third candidacy only in 2028. Meanwhile, the main opposition has been weakened by court rulings, leadership changes, and the jailing of prominent figures, reducing near-term challenges to his position. These structural and political realities underpin traders’ strong consensus that Erdoğan will remain in office through December 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedErdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
6% chance
$619,008 Vol.
$619,008 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Earn 3.25%
6% chance
$619,008 Vol.
$619,008 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Earn 3.25%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan faces no scheduled election or constitutional deadline before the end of 2026, with the next presidential vote set for May 2028.** His current term, secured in 2023, runs through that date under Turkey’s presidential system, and the ruling AKP-MHP alliance has signaled no intent to force an earlier contest. Discussions center instead on mechanisms—such as a parliamentary vote for early elections under Article 116 or constitutional adjustments—that could allow him a third candidacy only in 2028. Meanwhile, the main opposition has been weakened by court rulings, leadership changes, and the jailing of prominent figures, reducing near-term challenges to his position. These structural and political realities underpin traders’ strong consensus that Erdoğan will remain in office through December 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Volume
$619,008End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan faces no scheduled election or constitutional deadline before the end of 2026, with the next presidential vote set for May 2028.** His current term, secured in 2023, runs through that date under Turkey’s presidential system, and the ruling AKP-MHP alliance has signaled no intent to force an earlier contest. Discussions center instead on mechanisms—such as a parliamentary vote for early elections under Article 116 or constitutional adjustments—that could allow him a third candidacy only in 2028. Meanwhile, the main opposition has been weakened by court rulings, leadership changes, and the jailing of prominent figures, reducing near-term challenges to his position. These structural and political realities underpin traders’ strong consensus that Erdoğan will remain in office through December 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$619,008End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
**President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan faces no scheduled election or constitutional deadline before the end of 2026, with the next presidential vote set for May 2028.** His current term, secured in 2023, runs through that date under Turkey’s presidential system, and the ruling AKP-MHP alliance has signaled no intent to force an earlier contest. Discussions center instead on mechanisms—such as a parliamentary vote for early elections under Article 116 or constitutional adjustments—that could allow him a third candidacy only in 2028. Meanwhile, the main opposition has been weakened by court rulings, leadership changes, and the jailing of prominent figures, reducing near-term challenges to his position. These structural and political realities underpin traders’ strong consensus that Erdoğan will remain in office through December 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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