Narendra Modi’s position as India’s prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, supported by the BJP-led NDA’s parliamentary majority and the absence of scheduled national elections until 2029. Recent youth-led protests over exam irregularities prompted limited concessions, including an education minister’s resignation, but triggered no broader challenge to government stability or leadership transition. Opposition figures have issued partisan claims about Modi’s tenure entering a final phase, yet these lack corroboration from institutional developments or coalition defections. The BJP continues organizational and cabinet adjustments focused on 2027 state polls, while procedural barriers such as loss of Lok Sabha confidence or voluntary resignation show no signs of materializing in the short term. Trader consensus at 93% against an early exit aligns with these structural and political realities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedModi out by December 31, 2026?
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
7% chance
$249,417 Vol.
$249,417 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
7% chance
$249,417 Vol.
$249,417 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi’s position as India’s prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, supported by the BJP-led NDA’s parliamentary majority and the absence of scheduled national elections until 2029. Recent youth-led protests over exam irregularities prompted limited concessions, including an education minister’s resignation, but triggered no broader challenge to government stability or leadership transition. Opposition figures have issued partisan claims about Modi’s tenure entering a final phase, yet these lack corroboration from institutional developments or coalition defections. The BJP continues organizational and cabinet adjustments focused on 2027 state polls, while procedural barriers such as loss of Lok Sabha confidence or voluntary resignation show no signs of materializing in the short term. Trader consensus at 93% against an early exit aligns with these structural and political realities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$249,417End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi’s position as India’s prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, supported by the BJP-led NDA’s parliamentary majority and the absence of scheduled national elections until 2029. Recent youth-led protests over exam irregularities prompted limited concessions, including an education minister’s resignation, but triggered no broader challenge to government stability or leadership transition. Opposition figures have issued partisan claims about Modi’s tenure entering a final phase, yet these lack corroboration from institutional developments or coalition defections. The BJP continues organizational and cabinet adjustments focused on 2027 state polls, while procedural barriers such as loss of Lok Sabha confidence or voluntary resignation show no signs of materializing in the short term. Trader consensus at 93% against an early exit aligns with these structural and political realities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$249,417End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi’s position as India’s prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, supported by the BJP-led NDA’s parliamentary majority and the absence of scheduled national elections until 2029. Recent youth-led protests over exam irregularities prompted limited concessions, including an education minister’s resignation, but triggered no broader challenge to government stability or leadership transition. Opposition figures have issued partisan claims about Modi’s tenure entering a final phase, yet these lack corroboration from institutional developments or coalition defections. The BJP continues organizational and cabinet adjustments focused on 2027 state polls, while procedural barriers such as loss of Lok Sabha confidence or voluntary resignation show no signs of materializing in the short term. Trader consensus at 93% against an early exit aligns with these structural and political realities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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