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icon for Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

icon for Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

93% chance
Polymarket

$167,448 Vol.

93% chance
Polymarket

$167,448 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aziz Akhannouch ceases to be Prime Minister of Morocco for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Aziz Akhannouch's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Aziz Akhannouch and the government of Morocco; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Upcoming Moroccan parliamentary elections on 23 September 2026 are the dominant driver behind the 93.1% implied probability that Aziz Akhannouch will no longer serve as prime minister by year-end.** Akhannouch, who has led the RNI-led coalition government since October 2021, stepped down as party president in February 2026 and was succeeded by Mohamed Chaouki after announcing in January he would not seek a third term. Under Morocco’s constitutional process, the King appoints the head of government from the party securing the largest share of the 395 seats in the House of Representatives. With the electoral calendar now active—including candidate filings and the start of campaigning—the vote will produce a new legislature and subsequent government formation well before December 31. Trader consensus reflects the structural certainty of leadership transition tied to the scheduled election rather than any confirmed personal resignation.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aziz Akhannouch ceases to be Prime Minister of Morocco for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Aziz Akhannouch's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Aziz Akhannouch and the government of Morocco; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$167,448
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 2, 2025, 6:41 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aziz Akhannouch ceases to be Prime Minister of Morocco for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Aziz Akhannouch's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Aziz Akhannouch and the government of Morocco; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aziz Akhannouch ceases to be Prime Minister of Morocco for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Aziz Akhannouch's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Aziz Akhannouch and the government of Morocco; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Upcoming Moroccan parliamentary elections on 23 September 2026 are the dominant driver behind the 93.1% implied probability that Aziz Akhannouch will no longer serve as prime minister by year-end.** Akhannouch, who has led the RNI-led coalition government since October 2021, stepped down as party president in February 2026 and was succeeded by Mohamed Chaouki after announcing in January he would not seek a third term. Under Morocco’s constitutional process, the King appoints the head of government from the party securing the largest share of the 395 seats in the House of Representatives. With the electoral calendar now active—including candidate filings and the start of campaigning—the vote will produce a new legislature and subsequent government formation well before December 31. Trader consensus reflects the structural certainty of leadership transition tied to the scheduled election rather than any confirmed personal resignation.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aziz Akhannouch ceases to be Prime Minister of Morocco for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Aziz Akhannouch's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Aziz Akhannouch and the government of Morocco; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$167,448
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 2, 2025, 6:41 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aziz Akhannouch ceases to be Prime Minister of Morocco for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Aziz Akhannouch's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Aziz Akhannouch and the government of Morocco; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 93% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 93¢, the market collectively assigns a 93% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?" has generated $167.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?" is 93% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 93% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.