Alphabet’s market capitalization stands near $4.18–4.22 trillion as of August 26, 2026, supported by robust Q2 results showing 24% year-over-year revenue growth to $119.8 billion, Google Cloud revenue surging 82% to roughly $25 billion, and expanding operating margins amid accelerating AI monetization. Trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% implied probability for the $4.00–4.50 trillion bin at month-end stems from this sustained fundamental momentum, elevated capital expenditure guidance of $195–205 billion for infrastructure, and limited trading sessions remaining before resolution. A sharp equity-market selloff or adverse regulatory development could still push shares below the $327 level needed to exit the range, though current positioning and recent performance make such an outcome improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$4.00-$4.50T 93%
$3.50-$4.00T 4.4%
$4.50-$5.00T 2.6%
<$3.50T <1%
$11,069 Vol.
$11,069 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<$3.50T
<1%
$3.50-$4.00T
4%
$4.00-$4.50T
93%
$4.50-$5.00T
3%
$5.00-$5.50T
<1%
$5.50-$6.00T
<1%
$6.00T+
<1%
$4.00-$4.50T 93%
$3.50-$4.00T 4.4%
$4.50-$5.00T 2.6%
<$3.50T <1%
$11,069 Vol.
$11,069 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<$3.50T
$603 Vol.
<1%
$3.50-$4.00T
$591 Vol.
4%
$4.00-$4.50T
$4,397 Vol.
93%
$4.50-$5.00T
$4,531 Vol.
3%
$5.00-$5.50T
$257 Vol.
<1%
$5.50-$6.00T
$328 Vol.
<1%
$6.00T+
$362 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Alphabet’s market capitalization stands near $4.18–4.22 trillion as of August 26, 2026, supported by robust Q2 results showing 24% year-over-year revenue growth to $119.8 billion, Google Cloud revenue surging 82% to roughly $25 billion, and expanding operating margins amid accelerating AI monetization. Trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% implied probability for the $4.00–4.50 trillion bin at month-end stems from this sustained fundamental momentum, elevated capital expenditure guidance of $195–205 billion for infrastructure, and limited trading sessions remaining before resolution. A sharp equity-market selloff or adverse regulatory development could still push shares below the $327 level needed to exit the range, though current positioning and recent performance make such an outcome improbable.
This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ET
Volume
$11,069End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Alphabet’s market capitalization stands near $4.18–4.22 trillion as of August 26, 2026, supported by robust Q2 results showing 24% year-over-year revenue growth to $119.8 billion, Google Cloud revenue surging 82% to roughly $25 billion, and expanding operating margins amid accelerating AI monetization. Trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% implied probability for the $4.00–4.50 trillion bin at month-end stems from this sustained fundamental momentum, elevated capital expenditure guidance of $195–205 billion for infrastructure, and limited trading sessions remaining before resolution. A sharp equity-market selloff or adverse regulatory development could still push shares below the $327 level needed to exit the range, though current positioning and recent performance make such an outcome improbable.
This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Volume
$11,069End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Alphabet’s market capitalization stands near $4.18–4.22 trillion as of August 26, 2026, supported by robust Q2 results showing 24% year-over-year revenue growth to $119.8 billion, Google Cloud revenue surging 82% to roughly $25 billion, and expanding operating margins amid accelerating AI monetization. Trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% implied probability for the $4.00–4.50 trillion bin at month-end stems from this sustained fundamental momentum, elevated capital expenditure guidance of $195–205 billion for infrastructure, and limited trading sessions remaining before resolution. A sharp equity-market selloff or adverse regulatory development could still push shares below the $327 level needed to exit the range, though current positioning and recent performance make such an outcome improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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