Alphabet’s market cap trades near $4.17 trillion as of late August 2026, reflecting robust Q2 results with 24% revenue growth to $119.8 billion and Google Cloud surging 82% to $24.8 billion alongside segment margin expansion. Elevated 2026 capex guidance of $195–205 billion for AI infrastructure has pressured near-term free cash flow, contributing to valuation caution despite Berkshire Hathaway’s increased stake and analyst price targets clustered near $420. With resolution at end-September just weeks away and no major catalysts before the next earnings, trader consensus clusters around the $4.00–4.50 trillion bin while adjacent ranges capture uncertainty over sustained AI monetization versus capital intensity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$4.00-$4.50T 28.1%
$4.50-$5.00T 18%
$3.50-$4.00T 15%
<$3.50T 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 30, 2026
<$3.50T
13%
$3.50-$4.00T
15%
$4.00-$4.50T
28%
$4.50-$5.00T
18%
$5.00-$5.50T
10%
$5.50-$6.00T
5%
$6.00T+
3%
$4.00-$4.50T 28.1%
$4.50-$5.00T 18%
$3.50-$4.00T 15%
<$3.50T 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 30, 2026
<$3.50T
$132 Vol.
13%
$3.50-$4.00T
$56 Vol.
15%
$4.00-$4.50T
$68 Vol.
28%
$4.50-$5.00T
$72 Vol.
18%
$5.00-$5.50T
$839 Vol.
10%
$5.50-$6.00T
$326 Vol.
5%
$6.00T+
$239 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Alphabet’s market cap trades near $4.17 trillion as of late August 2026, reflecting robust Q2 results with 24% revenue growth to $119.8 billion and Google Cloud surging 82% to $24.8 billion alongside segment margin expansion. Elevated 2026 capex guidance of $195–205 billion for AI infrastructure has pressured near-term free cash flow, contributing to valuation caution despite Berkshire Hathaway’s increased stake and analyst price targets clustered near $420. With resolution at end-September just weeks away and no major catalysts before the next earnings, trader consensus clusters around the $4.00–4.50 trillion bin while adjacent ranges capture uncertainty over sustained AI monetization versus capital intensity.
This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ET
Volume
$1,731End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Alphabet’s market cap trades near $4.17 trillion as of late August 2026, reflecting robust Q2 results with 24% revenue growth to $119.8 billion and Google Cloud surging 82% to $24.8 billion alongside segment margin expansion. Elevated 2026 capex guidance of $195–205 billion for AI infrastructure has pressured near-term free cash flow, contributing to valuation caution despite Berkshire Hathaway’s increased stake and analyst price targets clustered near $420. With resolution at end-September just weeks away and no major catalysts before the next earnings, trader consensus clusters around the $4.00–4.50 trillion bin while adjacent ranges capture uncertainty over sustained AI monetization versus capital intensity.
This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Volume
$1,731End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Alphabet’s market cap trades near $4.17 trillion as of late August 2026, reflecting robust Q2 results with 24% revenue growth to $119.8 billion and Google Cloud surging 82% to $24.8 billion alongside segment margin expansion. Elevated 2026 capex guidance of $195–205 billion for AI infrastructure has pressured near-term free cash flow, contributing to valuation caution despite Berkshire Hathaway’s increased stake and analyst price targets clustered near $420. With resolution at end-September just weeks away and no major catalysts before the next earnings, trader consensus clusters around the $4.00–4.50 trillion bin while adjacent ranges capture uncertainty over sustained AI monetization versus capital intensity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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