Recent cooling in Brazil’s IPCA inflation, with the July 2026 reading at 4.44% year-over-year and the mid-August IPCA-15 preview at 4.24%, has anchored trader sentiment for the 2026 annual rate near the 5.02% median from the latest Focus survey. Multiple consecutive Selic cuts to 14% and expectations of further easing reflect moderating price pressures in food, housing, and transport amid a first monthly decline in over a year. Persistent fiscal stimulus and resilient domestic demand continue to support the upper end of the 5.00–5.49% band as the leading outcome, while lower oil prices and growth forecast revisions temper upside risks. The next Central Bank meeting in mid-September remains a key near-term catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated5.00-5.49% 47.8%
4.50-4.99% 26.0%
5.50-5.99% 23.8%
4.00-4.49% 3.0%
$99,468 Vol.
$99,468 Vol.
Jan 11, 2027
<3.00%
<1%
3.00-3.49%
<1%
3.50-3.99%
<1%
4.00-4.49%
3%
4.50-4.99%
26%
5.00-5.49%
48%
5.50-5.99%
24%
6.00-6.49%
1%
6.50-6.99%
<1%
7.00%+
<1%
5.00-5.49% 47.8%
4.50-4.99% 26.0%
5.50-5.99% 23.8%
4.00-4.49% 3.0%
$99,468 Vol.
$99,468 Vol.
Jan 11, 2027
<3.00%
$5,784 Vol.
<1%
3.00-3.49%
$5,844 Vol.
<1%
3.50-3.99%
$13,247 Vol.
<1%
4.00-4.49%
$14,345 Vol.
3%
4.50-4.99%
$16,777 Vol.
26%
5.00-5.49%
$14,759 Vol.
48%
5.50-5.99%
$10,390 Vol.
24%
6.00-6.49%
$6,725 Vol.
1%
6.50-6.99%
$6,741 Vol.
<1%
7.00%+
$4,857 Vol.
<1%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlRecent cooling in Brazil’s IPCA inflation, with the July 2026 reading at 4.44% year-over-year and the mid-August IPCA-15 preview at 4.24%, has anchored trader sentiment for the 2026 annual rate near the 5.02% median from the latest Focus survey. Multiple consecutive Selic cuts to 14% and expectations of further easing reflect moderating price pressures in food, housing, and transport amid a first monthly decline in over a year. Persistent fiscal stimulus and resilient domestic demand continue to support the upper end of the 5.00–5.49% band as the leading outcome, while lower oil prices and growth forecast revisions temper upside risks. The next Central Bank meeting in mid-September remains a key near-term catalyst.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
Market Opened: Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
Volume
$99,468End Date
Jan 12, 2027Market Opened
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlRecent cooling in Brazil’s IPCA inflation, with the July 2026 reading at 4.44% year-over-year and the mid-August IPCA-15 preview at 4.24%, has anchored trader sentiment for the 2026 annual rate near the 5.02% median from the latest Focus survey. Multiple consecutive Selic cuts to 14% and expectations of further easing reflect moderating price pressures in food, housing, and transport amid a first monthly decline in over a year. Persistent fiscal stimulus and resilient domestic demand continue to support the upper end of the 5.00–5.49% band as the leading outcome, while lower oil prices and growth forecast revisions temper upside risks. The next Central Bank meeting in mid-September remains a key near-term catalyst.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
Volume
$99,468End Date
Jan 12, 2027Market Opened
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent cooling in Brazil’s IPCA inflation, with the July 2026 reading at 4.44% year-over-year and the mid-August IPCA-15 preview at 4.24%, has anchored trader sentiment for the 2026 annual rate near the 5.02% median from the latest Focus survey. Multiple consecutive Selic cuts to 14% and expectations of further easing reflect moderating price pressures in food, housing, and transport amid a first monthly decline in over a year. Persistent fiscal stimulus and resilient domestic demand continue to support the upper end of the 5.00–5.49% band as the leading outcome, while lower oil prices and growth forecast revisions temper upside risks. The next Central Bank meeting in mid-September remains a key near-term catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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