Recent cooling in Mexico's headline inflation to 3.12% in July 2026 and 3.26% in early August, the lowest levels since 2020, has anchored trader sentiment for the 2026 annual rate near the 3.5-4.0% range amid sticky core readings around 3.93-3.95%. Banxico's forecasts project a 3.5% year-end 2026 print with convergence to its 3% target delayed until Q4 2027, reflecting persistent services inflation and an upward-skewed risk balance from US trade policy uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and potential peso depreciation. Private-sector surveys cluster near 4.0%, while recent rebounds in agricultural prices and resilient economic activity add contestation between sub-3.5% and 4.0-4.5% bins. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming INEGI releases and Banxico policy signals on the 6.5% benchmark rate.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated3.50% to 3.99% 33.8%
4.00% to 4.49% 24%
3.00% to 3.49% 20.8%
2.50% to 2.99% 8.5%
$65,717 Vol.
$65,717 Vol.
Jan 7, 2027
<2.50%
2%
2.50% to 2.99%
9%
3.00% to 3.49%
21%
3.50% to 3.99%
34%
4.00% to 4.49%
24%
4.50% to 4.99%
8%
5.00% to 5.49%
4%
5.50%+
3%
3.50% to 3.99% 33.8%
4.00% to 4.49% 24%
3.00% to 3.49% 20.8%
2.50% to 2.99% 8.5%
$65,717 Vol.
$65,717 Vol.
Jan 7, 2027
<2.50%
$1,111 Vol.
2%
2.50% to 2.99%
$4,895 Vol.
9%
3.00% to 3.49%
$28,970 Vol.
21%
3.50% to 3.99%
$4,113 Vol.
34%
4.00% to 4.49%
$13,094 Vol.
24%
4.50% to 4.99%
$4,768 Vol.
8%
5.00% to 5.49%
$2,454 Vol.
4%
5.50%+
$6,313 Vol.
3%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent cooling in Mexico's headline inflation to 3.12% in July 2026 and 3.26% in early August, the lowest levels since 2020, has anchored trader sentiment for the 2026 annual rate near the 3.5-4.0% range amid sticky core readings around 3.93-3.95%. Banxico's forecasts project a 3.5% year-end 2026 print with convergence to its 3% target delayed until Q4 2027, reflecting persistent services inflation and an upward-skewed risk balance from US trade policy uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and potential peso depreciation. Private-sector surveys cluster near 4.0%, while recent rebounds in agricultural prices and resilient economic activity add contestation between sub-3.5% and 4.0-4.5% bins. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming INEGI releases and Banxico policy signals on the 6.5% benchmark rate.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Market Opened: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Volume
$65,717End Date
Jan 8, 2027Market Opened
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent cooling in Mexico's headline inflation to 3.12% in July 2026 and 3.26% in early August, the lowest levels since 2020, has anchored trader sentiment for the 2026 annual rate near the 3.5-4.0% range amid sticky core readings around 3.93-3.95%. Banxico's forecasts project a 3.5% year-end 2026 print with convergence to its 3% target delayed until Q4 2027, reflecting persistent services inflation and an upward-skewed risk balance from US trade policy uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and potential peso depreciation. Private-sector surveys cluster near 4.0%, while recent rebounds in agricultural prices and resilient economic activity add contestation between sub-3.5% and 4.0-4.5% bins. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming INEGI releases and Banxico policy signals on the 6.5% benchmark rate.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Volume
$65,717End Date
Jan 8, 2027Market Opened
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent cooling in Mexico's headline inflation to 3.12% in July 2026 and 3.26% in early August, the lowest levels since 2020, has anchored trader sentiment for the 2026 annual rate near the 3.5-4.0% range amid sticky core readings around 3.93-3.95%. Banxico's forecasts project a 3.5% year-end 2026 print with convergence to its 3% target delayed until Q4 2027, reflecting persistent services inflation and an upward-skewed risk balance from US trade policy uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and potential peso depreciation. Private-sector surveys cluster near 4.0%, while recent rebounds in agricultural prices and resilient economic activity add contestation between sub-3.5% and 4.0-4.5% bins. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming INEGI releases and Banxico policy signals on the 6.5% benchmark rate.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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