Recent July CPI data, showing a 3.4% year-over-year reading (down from 3.5% in June), combined with Cleveland Fed nowcasts placing August around 3.37%, anchors trader expectations for modest further cooling in the annual rate. Market-implied odds cluster on 3.4% (47.5%) and 3.3% (29.5%), reflecting sticky core pressures near 2.5% alongside fading energy volatility from earlier Middle East tensions. Fed communications, including hawkish signals from officials like Boston Fed President Collins on potential rate adjustments absent sustained disinflation progress, reinforce caution, while goods prices tied to AI demand add underlying support. Upcoming September CPI release and FOMC deliberations represent the next key catalysts likely to influence positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated3.4% 48%
3.3% 30%
3.2% 11.9%
3.5% 11%
$35,836 Vol.
$35,836 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
≤2.9%
1%
3.0%
1%
3.1%
1%
3.2%
12%
3.3%
30%
3.4%
48%
3.5%
11%
3.6%
2%
3.7%
<1%
3.8%
3%
3.9%
1%
≥4.0%
1%
3.4% 48%
3.3% 30%
3.2% 11.9%
3.5% 11%
$35,836 Vol.
$35,836 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
≤2.9%
$734 Vol.
1%
3.0%
$644 Vol.
1%
3.1%
$789 Vol.
1%
3.2%
$1,175 Vol.
12%
3.3%
$7,242 Vol.
30%
3.4%
$12,592 Vol.
48%
3.5%
$8,717 Vol.
11%
3.6%
$1,077 Vol.
2%
3.7%
$574 Vol.
<1%
3.8%
$782 Vol.
3%
3.9%
$877 Vol.
1%
≥4.0%
$635 Vol.
1%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July CPI data, showing a 3.4% year-over-year reading (down from 3.5% in June), combined with Cleveland Fed nowcasts placing August around 3.37%, anchors trader expectations for modest further cooling in the annual rate. Market-implied odds cluster on 3.4% (47.5%) and 3.3% (29.5%), reflecting sticky core pressures near 2.5% alongside fading energy volatility from earlier Middle East tensions. Fed communications, including hawkish signals from officials like Boston Fed President Collins on potential rate adjustments absent sustained disinflation progress, reinforce caution, while goods prices tied to AI demand add underlying support. Upcoming September CPI release and FOMC deliberations represent the next key catalysts likely to influence positioning.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Volume
$35,836End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July CPI data, showing a 3.4% year-over-year reading (down from 3.5% in June), combined with Cleveland Fed nowcasts placing August around 3.37%, anchors trader expectations for modest further cooling in the annual rate. Market-implied odds cluster on 3.4% (47.5%) and 3.3% (29.5%), reflecting sticky core pressures near 2.5% alongside fading energy volatility from earlier Middle East tensions. Fed communications, including hawkish signals from officials like Boston Fed President Collins on potential rate adjustments absent sustained disinflation progress, reinforce caution, while goods prices tied to AI demand add underlying support. Upcoming September CPI release and FOMC deliberations represent the next key catalysts likely to influence positioning.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$35,836End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July CPI data, showing a 3.4% year-over-year reading (down from 3.5% in June), combined with Cleveland Fed nowcasts placing August around 3.37%, anchors trader expectations for modest further cooling in the annual rate. Market-implied odds cluster on 3.4% (47.5%) and 3.3% (29.5%), reflecting sticky core pressures near 2.5% alongside fading energy volatility from earlier Middle East tensions. Fed communications, including hawkish signals from officials like Boston Fed President Collins on potential rate adjustments absent sustained disinflation progress, reinforce caution, while goods prices tied to AI demand add underlying support. Upcoming September CPI release and FOMC deliberations represent the next key catalysts likely to influence positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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