China’s CPI has averaged around 1.0% year-on-year through the first half of 2026, with the July reading easing to 0.5% amid ongoing food deflation—particularly in pork—and softer non-food prices tied to weak household demand and excess manufacturing capacity. Persistent property-sector drag, subdued consumption, and ample domestic supply have kept broad price pressures limited despite earlier imported energy cost impulses from global disruptions that have since moderated. Official statements emphasize policy support for consumption and stable supply, while forecasters project a full-year rate near 0.6–1.0%, aligning with the current trading range that reflects subdued domestic activity offset by modest policy-driven demand measures and fading external cost factors. Recent monthly prints and half-year data releases have reinforced this positioning without signaling stronger upward momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedChina Annual Inflation 2026
China Annual Inflation 2026
0.6 – 1.0% 60%
0.1 – 0.5% 17.9%
1.1 – 1.5% 11%
2.0-2.4% 5.5%
$73,946 Vol.
$73,946 Vol.
Jan 9, 2027
<-1.0%
1%
-0.9 – -0.5%
1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
3%
0.1 – 0.5%
18%
0.6 – 1.0%
60%
1.1 – 1.5%
11%
1.6 – 2.0%
3%
2.0-2.4%
5%
2.5%+
<1%
0.6 – 1.0% 60%
0.1 – 0.5% 17.9%
1.1 – 1.5% 11%
2.0-2.4% 5.5%
$73,946 Vol.
$73,946 Vol.
Jan 9, 2027
<-1.0%
$19,736 Vol.
1%
-0.9 – -0.5%
$3,327 Vol.
1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
$4,597 Vol.
3%
0.1 – 0.5%
$5,172 Vol.
18%
0.6 – 1.0%
$9,047 Vol.
60%
1.1 – 1.5%
$14,382 Vol.
11%
1.6 – 2.0%
$6,462 Vol.
3%
2.0-2.4%
$7,879 Vol.
5%
2.5%+
$3,344 Vol.
<1%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China’s CPI has averaged around 1.0% year-on-year through the first half of 2026, with the July reading easing to 0.5% amid ongoing food deflation—particularly in pork—and softer non-food prices tied to weak household demand and excess manufacturing capacity. Persistent property-sector drag, subdued consumption, and ample domestic supply have kept broad price pressures limited despite earlier imported energy cost impulses from global disruptions that have since moderated. Official statements emphasize policy support for consumption and stable supply, while forecasters project a full-year rate near 0.6–1.0%, aligning with the current trading range that reflects subdued domestic activity offset by modest policy-driven demand measures and fading external cost factors. Recent monthly prints and half-year data releases have reinforced this positioning without signaling stronger upward momentum.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Market Opened: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Volume
$73,946End Date
Jan 10, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China’s CPI has averaged around 1.0% year-on-year through the first half of 2026, with the July reading easing to 0.5% amid ongoing food deflation—particularly in pork—and softer non-food prices tied to weak household demand and excess manufacturing capacity. Persistent property-sector drag, subdued consumption, and ample domestic supply have kept broad price pressures limited despite earlier imported energy cost impulses from global disruptions that have since moderated. Official statements emphasize policy support for consumption and stable supply, while forecasters project a full-year rate near 0.6–1.0%, aligning with the current trading range that reflects subdued domestic activity offset by modest policy-driven demand measures and fading external cost factors. Recent monthly prints and half-year data releases have reinforced this positioning without signaling stronger upward momentum.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Volume
$73,946End Date
Jan 10, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...China’s CPI has averaged around 1.0% year-on-year through the first half of 2026, with the July reading easing to 0.5% amid ongoing food deflation—particularly in pork—and softer non-food prices tied to weak household demand and excess manufacturing capacity. Persistent property-sector drag, subdued consumption, and ample domestic supply have kept broad price pressures limited despite earlier imported energy cost impulses from global disruptions that have since moderated. Official statements emphasize policy support for consumption and stable supply, while forecasters project a full-year rate near 0.6–1.0%, aligning with the current trading range that reflects subdued domestic activity offset by modest policy-driven demand measures and fading external cost factors. Recent monthly prints and half-year data releases have reinforced this positioning without signaling stronger upward momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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