**Canada's June 2026 monthly GDP is expected to show moderate expansion consistent with the advance estimate of 0.2% MoM, following May's 0.3% gain and a broader Q2 rebound.** Official Statistics Canada data released July 31 indicated 0.2% growth in June, driven by gains in wholesale trade, finance and insurance, and retail, partially offset by declines in utilities and agriculture. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on the 0.2-0.3% outcome. Q2 activity has tracked toward 0.8% overall, supported by recovering exports (including autos and energy), firmer domestic demand, and reversal of earlier temporary drags such as government spending cuts and production disruptions. Positive June trade figures—exports up 0.4% and a widened surplus—further reinforce resilience amid U.S. tariff measures affecting a limited share of shipments. Core inflation measures remain near the Bank of Canada's 2% target despite headline CPI pressures from energy prices, reducing the likelihood of extreme outcomes. The official June print, due August 28 alongside Q2 expenditure details, is the key near-term catalyst. Revisions to prior months have been modest, and recent indicators point to contained rather than outsized momentum, positioning the 0.2-0.3% range as the trader consensus backed by capital at risk.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated0.2-0.3% 55%
0.0-0.1% 22%
0.4-0.5% 16.5%
<0.0% 12.2%
$24,081 Vol.
$24,081 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
<0.0%
12%
0.0-0.1%
22%
0.2-0.3%
55%
0.4-0.5%
16%
0.6-0.7%
<1%
0.8%+
1%
0.2-0.3% 55%
0.0-0.1% 22%
0.4-0.5% 16.5%
<0.0% 12.2%
$24,081 Vol.
$24,081 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
<0.0%
$2,263 Vol.
12%
0.0-0.1%
$6,129 Vol.
22%
0.2-0.3%
$11,112 Vol.
55%
0.4-0.5%
$2,166 Vol.
16%
0.6-0.7%
$1,306 Vol.
<1%
0.8%+
$1,106 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.**Canada's June 2026 monthly GDP is expected to show moderate expansion consistent with the advance estimate of 0.2% MoM, following May's 0.3% gain and a broader Q2 rebound.** Official Statistics Canada data released July 31 indicated 0.2% growth in June, driven by gains in wholesale trade, finance and insurance, and retail, partially offset by declines in utilities and agriculture. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on the 0.2-0.3% outcome.
Q2 activity has tracked toward 0.8% overall, supported by recovering exports (including autos and energy), firmer domestic demand, and reversal of earlier temporary drags such as government spending cuts and production disruptions. Positive June trade figures—exports up 0.4% and a widened surplus—further reinforce resilience amid U.S. tariff measures affecting a limited share of shipments. Core inflation measures remain near the Bank of Canada's 2% target despite headline CPI pressures from energy prices, reducing the likelihood of extreme outcomes.
The official June print, due August 28 alongside Q2 expenditure details, is the key near-term catalyst. Revisions to prior months have been modest, and recent indicators point to contained rather than outsized momentum, positioning the 0.2-0.3% range as the trader consensus backed by capital at risk.
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
Volume
$24,081End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolution Source
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.**Canada's June 2026 monthly GDP is expected to show moderate expansion consistent with the advance estimate of 0.2% MoM, following May's 0.3% gain and a broader Q2 rebound.** Official Statistics Canada data released July 31 indicated 0.2% growth in June, driven by gains in wholesale trade, finance and insurance, and retail, partially offset by declines in utilities and agriculture. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on the 0.2-0.3% outcome.
Q2 activity has tracked toward 0.8% overall, supported by recovering exports (including autos and energy), firmer domestic demand, and reversal of earlier temporary drags such as government spending cuts and production disruptions. Positive June trade figures—exports up 0.4% and a widened surplus—further reinforce resilience amid U.S. tariff measures affecting a limited share of shipments. Core inflation measures remain near the Bank of Canada's 2% target despite headline CPI pressures from energy prices, reducing the likelihood of extreme outcomes.
The official June print, due August 28 alongside Q2 expenditure details, is the key near-term catalyst. Revisions to prior months have been modest, and recent indicators point to contained rather than outsized momentum, positioning the 0.2-0.3% range as the trader consensus backed by capital at risk.
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Volume
$24,081End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolution Source
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Canada's June 2026 monthly GDP is expected to show moderate expansion consistent with the advance estimate of 0.2% MoM, following May's 0.3% gain and a broader Q2 rebound.** Official Statistics Canada data released July 31 indicated 0.2% growth in June, driven by gains in wholesale trade, finance and insurance, and retail, partially offset by declines in utilities and agriculture. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on the 0.2-0.3% outcome. Q2 activity has tracked toward 0.8% overall, supported by recovering exports (including autos and energy), firmer domestic demand, and reversal of earlier temporary drags such as government spending cuts and production disruptions. Positive June trade figures—exports up 0.4% and a widened surplus—further reinforce resilience amid U.S. tariff measures affecting a limited share of shipments. Core inflation measures remain near the Bank of Canada's 2% target despite headline CPI pressures from energy prices, reducing the likelihood of extreme outcomes. The official June print, due August 28 alongside Q2 expenditure details, is the key near-term catalyst. Revisions to prior months have been modest, and recent indicators point to contained rather than outsized momentum, positioning the 0.2-0.3% range as the trader consensus backed by capital at risk.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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