Recent strength in the S&P Global flash services PMI, which surged to 56.8 in August—well above the 54.0 consensus and the highest level since late 2024—has introduced upside momentum into expectations for the ISM Services PMI. July’s ISM reading of 54.1, slightly below forecast, highlighted resilient business activity and new orders alongside contracting employment and elevated prices paid near 70. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around the 53.0–55.9 range, reflecting uncertainty over whether domestic demand, hiring trends, and any lingering supply-chain or energy-cost effects from geopolitical factors will sustain or moderate the expansion. The August ISM release, due early September, remains the key catalyst that will resolve the narrow distribution of outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated53.0–53.9 31%
55.0–55.9 29.0%
54.0–54.9 23.5%
52.0–52.9 5.4%
$34,722 Vol.
$34,722 Vol.
Sep 3, 2026
<50.0
<1%
50.0–50.9
1%
51.0–51.9
1%
52.0–52.9
5%
53.0–53.9
31%
54.0–54.9
24%
55.0–55.9
29%
56.0–56.9
4%
57.0–57.9
3%
58.0+
1%
53.0–53.9 31%
55.0–55.9 29.0%
54.0–54.9 23.5%
52.0–52.9 5.4%
$34,722 Vol.
$34,722 Vol.
Sep 3, 2026
<50.0
$645 Vol.
<1%
50.0–50.9
$733 Vol.
1%
51.0–51.9
$741 Vol.
1%
52.0–52.9
$4,008 Vol.
5%
53.0–53.9
$15,184 Vol.
31%
54.0–54.9
$6,228 Vol.
24%
55.0–55.9
$4,772 Vol.
29%
56.0–56.9
$839 Vol.
4%
57.0–57.9
$836 Vol.
3%
58.0+
$737 Vol.
1%
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent strength in the S&P Global flash services PMI, which surged to 56.8 in August—well above the 54.0 consensus and the highest level since late 2024—has introduced upside momentum into expectations for the ISM Services PMI. July’s ISM reading of 54.1, slightly below forecast, highlighted resilient business activity and new orders alongside contracting employment and elevated prices paid near 70. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around the 53.0–55.9 range, reflecting uncertainty over whether domestic demand, hiring trends, and any lingering supply-chain or energy-cost effects from geopolitical factors will sustain or moderate the expansion. The August ISM release, due early September, remains the key catalyst that will resolve the narrow distribution of outcomes.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
Volume
$34,722End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETThis is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent strength in the S&P Global flash services PMI, which surged to 56.8 in August—well above the 54.0 consensus and the highest level since late 2024—has introduced upside momentum into expectations for the ISM Services PMI. July’s ISM reading of 54.1, slightly below forecast, highlighted resilient business activity and new orders alongside contracting employment and elevated prices paid near 70. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around the 53.0–55.9 range, reflecting uncertainty over whether domestic demand, hiring trends, and any lingering supply-chain or energy-cost effects from geopolitical factors will sustain or moderate the expansion. The August ISM release, due early September, remains the key catalyst that will resolve the narrow distribution of outcomes.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$34,722End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETRecent strength in the S&P Global flash services PMI, which surged to 56.8 in August—well above the 54.0 consensus and the highest level since late 2024—has introduced upside momentum into expectations for the ISM Services PMI. July’s ISM reading of 54.1, slightly below forecast, highlighted resilient business activity and new orders alongside contracting employment and elevated prices paid near 70. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around the 53.0–55.9 range, reflecting uncertainty over whether domestic demand, hiring trends, and any lingering supply-chain or energy-cost effects from geopolitical factors will sustain or moderate the expansion. The August ISM release, due early September, remains the key catalyst that will resolve the narrow distribution of outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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