Recent South Korea CPI readings near 2.8% year-over-year in July, combined with the Bank of Korea’s maintenance of its 2.7% 2026 inflation projection alongside a sharply upgraded 3.3% growth forecast, anchor trader sentiment around the 2.7–2.9% annual average range. Elevated petroleum prices, Middle East supply risks, and strengthening domestic demand from the semiconductor cycle have sustained core pressures near 2.5%, prompting back-to-back 25-basis-point rate hikes to 3% as of August 27. These factors support the clustered implied probabilities near 2.4–3.0%, though moderating transport and food components plus potential oil-price stabilization could shift outcomes lower ahead of the September CPI release and further BOK communications.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2.7% to 2.9% 32.8%
2.4% to 2.6% 28.1%
3.0%+ 27.5%
2.1% to 2.3% 7.9%
$32,518 Vol.
$32,518 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
<1.5%
4%
1.5% to 1.7%
3%
1.8% to 2.0%
5%
2.1% to 2.3%
8%
2.4% to 2.6%
28%
2.7% to 2.9%
33%
3.0%+
28%
2.7% to 2.9% 32.8%
2.4% to 2.6% 28.1%
3.0%+ 27.5%
2.1% to 2.3% 7.9%
$32,518 Vol.
$32,518 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
<1.5%
$2,676 Vol.
4%
1.5% to 1.7%
$2,535 Vol.
3%
1.8% to 2.0%
$1,714 Vol.
5%
2.1% to 2.3%
$4,106 Vol.
8%
2.4% to 2.6%
$4,798 Vol.
28%
2.7% to 2.9%
$5,025 Vol.
33%
3.0%+
$11,664 Vol.
28%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Recent South Korea CPI readings near 2.8% year-over-year in July, combined with the Bank of Korea’s maintenance of its 2.7% 2026 inflation projection alongside a sharply upgraded 3.3% growth forecast, anchor trader sentiment around the 2.7–2.9% annual average range. Elevated petroleum prices, Middle East supply risks, and strengthening domestic demand from the semiconductor cycle have sustained core pressures near 2.5%, prompting back-to-back 25-basis-point rate hikes to 3% as of August 27. These factors support the clustered implied probabilities near 2.4–3.0%, though moderating transport and food components plus potential oil-price stabilization could shift outcomes lower ahead of the September CPI release and further BOK communications.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Market Opened: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volume
$32,518End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Recent South Korea CPI readings near 2.8% year-over-year in July, combined with the Bank of Korea’s maintenance of its 2.7% 2026 inflation projection alongside a sharply upgraded 3.3% growth forecast, anchor trader sentiment around the 2.7–2.9% annual average range. Elevated petroleum prices, Middle East supply risks, and strengthening domestic demand from the semiconductor cycle have sustained core pressures near 2.5%, prompting back-to-back 25-basis-point rate hikes to 3% as of August 27. These factors support the clustered implied probabilities near 2.4–3.0%, though moderating transport and food components plus potential oil-price stabilization could shift outcomes lower ahead of the September CPI release and further BOK communications.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Volume
$32,518End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent South Korea CPI readings near 2.8% year-over-year in July, combined with the Bank of Korea’s maintenance of its 2.7% 2026 inflation projection alongside a sharply upgraded 3.3% growth forecast, anchor trader sentiment around the 2.7–2.9% annual average range. Elevated petroleum prices, Middle East supply risks, and strengthening domestic demand from the semiconductor cycle have sustained core pressures near 2.5%, prompting back-to-back 25-basis-point rate hikes to 3% as of August 27. These factors support the clustered implied probabilities near 2.4–3.0%, though moderating transport and food components plus potential oil-price stabilization could shift outcomes lower ahead of the September CPI release and further BOK communications.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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