Scottie Scheffler enters the 2026 Tour Championship at East Lake as the clear points leader after a dominant eight-shot victory at the FedEx St. Jude Championship and consistent top finishes throughout the season, underpinning his 21% implied probability in the market. Rory McIlroy sits second among contenders at 9.5% following his Masters win and improved BMW Championship showing, while players like Xander Schauffele, Collin Morikawa, Ludvig Åberg, and Sam Burns trail in the 4-8% range due to strong regular-season form, recent playoff results, and course history at East Lake. The wide field reflects the reset nature of the finale, where starting positions, ball-striking consistency, and closing ability under pressure separate the leaders from the pack amid a competitive 30-player group.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 21%
Rory McIlroy 10%
Xander Schauffele 7.5%
Collin Morikawa 5.3%
$2,656,790 Vol.
$2,656,790 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
21%
Rory McIlroy
10%
Xander Schauffele
8%
Collin Morikawa
5%
Ludvig Åberg
5%
Sam Burns
5%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Cameron Young
4%
Chris Gotterup
4%
Matt Fitzpatrick
2%
Si Woo Kim
2%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Russell Henley
2%
Justin Rose
1%
Gary Woodland
1%
J.J. Spaun
1%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Ryan Gerard
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Akshay Bhatia
1%
Jacob Bridgeman
1%
Scottie Scheffler 21%
Rory McIlroy 10%
Xander Schauffele 7.5%
Collin Morikawa 5.3%
$2,656,790 Vol.
$2,656,790 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
21%
Rory McIlroy
10%
Xander Schauffele
8%
Collin Morikawa
5%
Ludvig Åberg
5%
Sam Burns
5%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Cameron Young
4%
Chris Gotterup
4%
Matt Fitzpatrick
2%
Si Woo Kim
2%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Russell Henley
2%
Justin Rose
1%
Gary Woodland
1%
J.J. Spaun
1%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Ryan Gerard
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Akshay Bhatia
1%
Jacob Bridgeman
1%
If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Apr 13, 2026, 4:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Scottie Scheffler enters the 2026 Tour Championship at East Lake as the clear points leader after a dominant eight-shot victory at the FedEx St. Jude Championship and consistent top finishes throughout the season, underpinning his 21% implied probability in the market. Rory McIlroy sits second among contenders at 9.5% following his Masters win and improved BMW Championship showing, while players like Xander Schauffele, Collin Morikawa, Ludvig Åberg, and Sam Burns trail in the 4-8% range due to strong regular-season form, recent playoff results, and course history at East Lake. The wide field reflects the reset nature of the finale, where starting positions, ball-striking consistency, and closing ability under pressure separate the leaders from the pack amid a competitive 30-player group.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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