**Persistent subtropical high pressure has sustained a heat wave across Chongqing, with official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Observatory indicating daytime highs of 36–39°C on August 27 amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers or thunderstorms, particularly in southern and central areas.** Recent observations show maxima reaching 39–40.7°C on August 26, supporting trader emphasis on 38°C (47% implied probability) and 39°C (35%) as the most likely peaks before any rain-induced cooling takes effect. Model consensus points to afternoon temperatures peaking near these thresholds under high humidity and light winds, with historical late-August averages around 35–37°C providing context for the elevated readings. Incoming data from monitoring stations and updated model runs will determine final resolution near the close of the day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 27?
38°C 46%
39°C 27%
37°C 17%
36°C 5%
$18,214 Vol.
$18,214 Vol.
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
5%
37°C
17%
38°C
46%
39°C
33%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
38°C 46%
39°C 27%
37°C 17%
36°C 5%
$18,214 Vol.
$18,214 Vol.
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
5%
37°C
17%
38°C
46%
39°C
33%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent subtropical high pressure has sustained a heat wave across Chongqing, with official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Observatory indicating daytime highs of 36–39°C on August 27 amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers or thunderstorms, particularly in southern and central areas.** Recent observations show maxima reaching 39–40.7°C on August 26, supporting trader emphasis on 38°C (47% implied probability) and 39°C (35%) as the most likely peaks before any rain-induced cooling takes effect. Model consensus points to afternoon temperatures peaking near these thresholds under high humidity and light winds, with historical late-August averages around 35–37°C providing context for the elevated readings. Incoming data from monitoring stations and updated model runs will determine final resolution near the close of the day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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