Recent SKDS polling ahead of Latvia’s October 3 Saeima election shows Apvienotais saraksts (AS) holding a clear lead for first place under Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs, while Sovereign Power/New Latvians (SV), Latvia First (LPV), the Progressives (PRO), National Alliance (NA), and New Unity (JV) remain tightly clustered in the 7–15% range. A large share of undecided voters and ongoing coalition realignments following the May government transition continue to compress distinctions among these contenders. With roughly five weeks remaining, shifts in turnout among regional or Russian-speaking voters, final campaign messaging on security and economic issues, and any late endorsements or scandals could separate the pack for second place. Trader pricing reflects this persistent uncertainty across multiple lists.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSV 50%
AS 22%
LPV 16%
PRO 12.5%
$11,822 Vol.
$11,822 Vol.
Oct 3, 2026
SV
50%
AS
22%
LPV
16%
PRO
13%
ASL
3%
GS
2%
JV
2%
ZZS
1%
MMN
1%
NA
<1%
JKP
<1%
SC
<1%
LA
<1%
ST!
<1%
SV 50%
AS 22%
LPV 16%
PRO 12.5%
$11,822 Vol.
$11,822 Vol.
Oct 3, 2026
SV
$2,085 Vol.
50%
AS
$1,187 Vol.
22%
LPV
$1,426 Vol.
16%
PRO
$1,178 Vol.
13%
ASL
$617 Vol.
3%
GS
$558 Vol.
2%
JV
$569 Vol.
2%
ZZS
$673 Vol.
1%
MMN
$461 Vol.
1%
NA
$457 Vol.
<1%
JKP
$578 Vol.
<1%
SC
$504 Vol.
<1%
LA
$758 Vol.
<1%
ST!
$772 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Recent SKDS polling ahead of Latvia’s October 3 Saeima election shows Apvienotais saraksts (AS) holding a clear lead for first place under Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs, while Sovereign Power/New Latvians (SV), Latvia First (LPV), the Progressives (PRO), National Alliance (NA), and New Unity (JV) remain tightly clustered in the 7–15% range. A large share of undecided voters and ongoing coalition realignments following the May government transition continue to compress distinctions among these contenders. With roughly five weeks remaining, shifts in turnout among regional or Russian-speaking voters, final campaign messaging on security and economic issues, and any late endorsements or scandals could separate the pack for second place. Trader pricing reflects this persistent uncertainty across multiple lists.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 7:40 AM ET
Volume
$11,822End Date
Oct 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:40 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.cvk.lv/lvResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Recent SKDS polling ahead of Latvia’s October 3 Saeima election shows Apvienotais saraksts (AS) holding a clear lead for first place under Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs, while Sovereign Power/New Latvians (SV), Latvia First (LPV), the Progressives (PRO), National Alliance (NA), and New Unity (JV) remain tightly clustered in the 7–15% range. A large share of undecided voters and ongoing coalition realignments following the May government transition continue to compress distinctions among these contenders. With roughly five weeks remaining, shifts in turnout among regional or Russian-speaking voters, final campaign messaging on security and economic issues, and any late endorsements or scandals could separate the pack for second place. Trader pricing reflects this persistent uncertainty across multiple lists.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Volume
$11,822End Date
Oct 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:40 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.cvk.lv/lvResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent SKDS polling ahead of Latvia’s October 3 Saeima election shows Apvienotais saraksts (AS) holding a clear lead for first place under Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs, while Sovereign Power/New Latvians (SV), Latvia First (LPV), the Progressives (PRO), National Alliance (NA), and New Unity (JV) remain tightly clustered in the 7–15% range. A large share of undecided voters and ongoing coalition realignments following the May government transition continue to compress distinctions among these contenders. With roughly five weeks remaining, shifts in turnout among regional or Russian-speaking voters, final campaign messaging on security and economic issues, and any late endorsements or scandals could separate the pack for second place. Trader pricing reflects this persistent uncertainty across multiple lists.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
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