AS leads trader consensus at 52.8% as incumbent Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs of Apvienotais saraksts (AS) maintains visibility ahead of the 3 October Saeima vote, with July SKDS polling placing the party first at around 19%. SV and LPV trail in the mid-teens amid fragmented opposition support, while PRO, NA, and JV register lower single digits consistent with recent surveys. The May 2026 government transition after the prior coalition collapse has positioned AS as the main beneficiary of incumbency effects in a multi-party system requiring 51 seats for a majority. Late-campaign events, turnout shifts among Latvian-speaking and regional voters, and coalition negotiations remain key variables that could alter final seat distributions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAS 52.6%
SV 25.1%
LPV 17%
PRO 5.1%
$200,697 Vol.
$200,697 Vol.
Oct 2, 2026
AS
53%
SV
25%
LPV
17%
PRO
5%
NA
1%
JV
<1%
ST!
<1%
S
<1%
ZZS
<1%
AS 52.6%
SV 25.1%
LPV 17%
PRO 5.1%
$200,697 Vol.
$200,697 Vol.
Oct 2, 2026
AS
$33,408 Vol.
53%
SV
$26,902 Vol.
25%
LPV
$23,850 Vol.
17%
PRO
$30,430 Vol.
5%
NA
$8,689 Vol.
1%
JV
$13,011 Vol.
<1%
ST!
$4,130 Vol.
<1%
S
$5,862 Vol.
<1%
ZZS
$54,416 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).AS leads trader consensus at 52.8% as incumbent Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs of Apvienotais saraksts (AS) maintains visibility ahead of the 3 October Saeima vote, with July SKDS polling placing the party first at around 19%. SV and LPV trail in the mid-teens amid fragmented opposition support, while PRO, NA, and JV register lower single digits consistent with recent surveys. The May 2026 government transition after the prior coalition collapse has positioned AS as the main beneficiary of incumbency effects in a multi-party system requiring 51 seats for a majority. Late-campaign events, turnout shifts among Latvian-speaking and regional voters, and coalition negotiations remain key variables that could alter final seat distributions.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ET
Volume
$200,697End Date
Oct 3, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).AS leads trader consensus at 52.8% as incumbent Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs of Apvienotais saraksts (AS) maintains visibility ahead of the 3 October Saeima vote, with July SKDS polling placing the party first at around 19%. SV and LPV trail in the mid-teens amid fragmented opposition support, while PRO, NA, and JV register lower single digits consistent with recent surveys. The May 2026 government transition after the prior coalition collapse has positioned AS as the main beneficiary of incumbency effects in a multi-party system requiring 51 seats for a majority. Late-campaign events, turnout shifts among Latvian-speaking and regional voters, and coalition negotiations remain key variables that could alter final seat distributions.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Volume
$200,697End Date
Oct 3, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...AS leads trader consensus at 52.8% as incumbent Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs of Apvienotais saraksts (AS) maintains visibility ahead of the 3 October Saeima vote, with July SKDS polling placing the party first at around 19%. SV and LPV trail in the mid-teens amid fragmented opposition support, while PRO, NA, and JV register lower single digits consistent with recent surveys. The May 2026 government transition after the prior coalition collapse has positioned AS as the main beneficiary of incumbency effects in a multi-party system requiring 51 seats for a majority. Late-campaign events, turnout shifts among Latvian-speaking and regional voters, and coalition negotiations remain key variables that could alter final seat distributions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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