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Politics·Canada

St. Catharines, ON Mayoral Election Winner

icon for St. Catharines, ON Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Canada

St. Catharines, ON Mayoral Election Winner

Mat Siscoe 93%

Anthony A. Adeoye 5%

Ann-Marie Zammit 3.5%

Jimmy Jackson 1.0%

Polymarket
NEW

Mat Siscoe 93%

Anthony A. Adeoye 5%

Ann-Marie Zammit 3.5%

Jimmy Jackson 1.0%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Mat Siscoe

Mat Siscoe

$1,036 Vol.

93%

icon for Anthony A. Adeoye

Anthony A. Adeoye

$143 Vol.

5%

icon for Ann-Marie Zammit

Ann-Marie Zammit

$111 Vol.

4%

icon for Jimmy Jackson

Jimmy Jackson

$97 Vol.

1%

The 2026 St. Catharines, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of St. Catharines, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from St. Catharines, Ontario.Mat Siscoe, the incumbent mayor seeking re-election on October 26, 2026, maintains a commanding lead in the St. Catharines mayoral market due to his 2022 landslide victory with nearly 69 percent of the vote, prior service on city and regional council, and record of restrained property tax growth plus creation of the SCORE nonprofit support fund. Recent actions include declaring a state of emergency after July and August 2026 flooding and directing staff on long-term infrastructure and stormwater improvements. Registered challengers such as Anthony A. Adeoye, Ann-Marie Zammit, Jimmy Jackson, and Henry Bosch lack comparable elected experience or name recognition, with nominations closing August 21 without signs of a consolidated opposition. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages for the incumbent, though late developments like a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected surge in challenger visibility before election day could still alter outcomes.

The 2026 St. Catharines, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of St. Catharines, Ontario as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from St. Catharines, Ontario.
Volume
$1,386
End Date
Oct 26, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 2:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 St. Catharines, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of St. Catharines, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from St. Catharines, Ontario.
The 2026 St. Catharines, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of St. Catharines, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from St. Catharines, Ontario.Mat Siscoe, the incumbent mayor seeking re-election on October 26, 2026, maintains a commanding lead in the St. Catharines mayoral market due to his 2022 landslide victory with nearly 69 percent of the vote, prior service on city and regional council, and record of restrained property tax growth plus creation of the SCORE nonprofit support fund. Recent actions include declaring a state of emergency after July and August 2026 flooding and directing staff on long-term infrastructure and stormwater improvements. Registered challengers such as Anthony A. Adeoye, Ann-Marie Zammit, Jimmy Jackson, and Henry Bosch lack comparable elected experience or name recognition, with nominations closing August 21 without signs of a consolidated opposition. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages for the incumbent, though late developments like a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected surge in challenger visibility before election day could still alter outcomes.

The 2026 St. Catharines, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of St. Catharines, Ontario as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from St. Catharines, Ontario.
Volume
$1,386
End Date
Oct 26, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 2:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 St. Catharines, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of St. Catharines, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from St. Catharines, Ontario.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"St. Catharines, ON Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mat Siscoe" at 93%, followed by "Anthony A. Adeoye" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"St. Catharines, ON Mayoral Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "St. Catharines, ON Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "St. Catharines, ON Mayoral Election Winner" is "Mat Siscoe" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Anthony A. Adeoye" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "St. Catharines, ON Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.