Skip to main content
icon for Sault Ste. Marie, ON Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Global Elections

Sault Ste. Marie, ON Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Sault Ste. Marie, ON Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Global Elections

Sault Ste. Marie, ON Mayoral Election Winner

Matthew Shoemaker 70%

Joel Rowswell 19%

Josh McNally 1.4%

Selva Rasaiah <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Matthew Shoemaker 70%

Joel Rowswell 19%

Josh McNally 1.4%

Selva Rasaiah <1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Matthew Shoemaker

Matthew Shoemaker

$1,228 Vol.

70%

icon for Joel Rowswell

Joel Rowswell

$673 Vol.

19%

icon for Josh McNally

Josh McNally

$326 Vol.

1%

icon for Selva Rasaiah

Selva Rasaiah

$201 Vol.

1%

icon for Matthew Toffelmire

Matthew Toffelmire

$243 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario.**Matthew Shoemaker leads the Polymarket market for the October 26, 2026 Sault Ste. Marie mayoral election as the incumbent seeking a second term.** He captured roughly 44% of the vote in a multi-candidate 2022 race and has maintained visibility through advocacy on steel tariffs affecting Algoma Steel, port infrastructure projects, and provincial economic initiatives. Five candidates were certified after nominations closed August 21: Shoemaker, Joel Rowswell (son of former mayor John Rowswell), environmental activist Selva Rasaiah, musician Josh McNally, and Matthew Toffelmire. The field remains fragmented with limited organized polling or fundraising reported for challengers. Trader positioning assigns Shoemaker the highest implied probability due to incumbency advantages, established name recognition, and ongoing public role in local economic and industrial matters. Rowswell receives secondary support tied to family legacy and early informal interest, while the remaining candidates register minimal market activity. No major late-breaking events have altered the field since nominations closed.

The 2026 Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario.
Volume
$2,672
End Date
Oct 26, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 2:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario.
The 2026 Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario.**Matthew Shoemaker leads the Polymarket market for the October 26, 2026 Sault Ste. Marie mayoral election as the incumbent seeking a second term.** He captured roughly 44% of the vote in a multi-candidate 2022 race and has maintained visibility through advocacy on steel tariffs affecting Algoma Steel, port infrastructure projects, and provincial economic initiatives. Five candidates were certified after nominations closed August 21: Shoemaker, Joel Rowswell (son of former mayor John Rowswell), environmental activist Selva Rasaiah, musician Josh McNally, and Matthew Toffelmire. The field remains fragmented with limited organized polling or fundraising reported for challengers. Trader positioning assigns Shoemaker the highest implied probability due to incumbency advantages, established name recognition, and ongoing public role in local economic and industrial matters. Rowswell receives secondary support tied to family legacy and early informal interest, while the remaining candidates register minimal market activity. No major late-breaking events have altered the field since nominations closed.

The 2026 Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario.
Volume
$2,672
End Date
Oct 26, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 2:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario.

Related

icon for Will Rob Burton win the 2026 Oakville mayoral election?

Will Rob Burton win the 2026 Oakville mayoral election?

54%
icon for Will Mat Siscoe win the 2026 St. Catharines mayoral election?

Will Mat Siscoe win the 2026 St. Catharines mayoral election?

87%
icon for Will Drew Dilkens win the 2026 Windsor mayoral election?

Will Drew Dilkens win the 2026 Windsor mayoral election?

56%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Sault Ste. Marie, ON Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Matthew Shoemaker" at 70%, followed by "Joel Rowswell" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 70¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Sault Ste. Marie, ON Mayoral Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Sault Ste. Marie, ON Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Sault Ste. Marie, ON Mayoral Election Winner" is "Matthew Shoemaker" at 70%, meaning the market assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Joel Rowswell" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Sault Ste. Marie, ON Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.